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In this article we propose a novel MCMC method based on deterministic transformations T: X x D --> X where X is the state-space and D is some set which may or may not be a subset of X. We refer to our new methodology as Transformation-based…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Somak Dutta , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are not only a popular tool in the analysis of state space models, but offer an alternative to MCMC in situations where Bayesian inference must proceed via simulation. This paper introduces a new SMC…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-11 Paul Fearnhead , Benjamin M. Taylor

Simulated tempering is a widely used strategy for sampling from multimodal distributions. In this paper, we consider simulated tempering combined with an arbitrary local Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler and present a new decomposition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Jhanvi Garg , Krishna Balasubramanian , Quan Zhou

The Dirichlet process (DP) is a fundamental mathematical tool for Bayesian nonparametric modeling, and is widely used in tasks such as density estimation, natural language processing, and time series modeling. Although MCMC inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-09 Dan Lovell , Jonathan Malmaud , Ryan P. Adams , Vikash K. Mansinghka

Bayesian curve fitting plays an important role in inverse problems, and is often addressed using the Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) algorithm. However, this algorithm can be computationally inefficient without…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-28 Zhiyao Tian , Anthony Lee , Shunhua Zhou

Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) extracted from satellite imagery are the only wind observations with good global coverage. They are important features for feeding numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Several Bayesian models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Patrick Héas , Frédéric Cérou , Mathias Rousset

We show that the acceptance probability for swaps in the parallel tempering Monte Carlo method for classical canonical systems is given by a universal function that depends on the average statistical fluctuations of the potential and on the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Cristian Predescu , Mihaela Predescu , Cristian V. Ciobanu

A number of problems in a variety of fields are characterised by target distributions with a multimodal structure in which the presence of several isolated local maxima dramatically reduces the efficiency of Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-31 Miquel Trias , Alberto Vecchio , John Veitch

Due to the escalating growth of big data sets in recent years, new Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) parallel computing methods have been developed. These methods partition large data sets by observations into subsets. However, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Zheng Wei , Erin M. Conlon

We present a novel implementation of the parallel tempering Monte Carlo method in a multicanonical ensemble. Multicanonical weights are derived by a self-consistent iterative process using a Boltzmann inversion of global energy histograms.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Roland Faller , Qiliang Yan , Juan J. de Pablo

We study the dynamics of parallel tempering simulations, also known as the replica exchange technique, which has become the method of choice for simulation of proteins and other complex systems. Recent results for the optimal choice of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Walter Nadler , Ulrich H. E. Hansmann

Bayesian profile regression mixture models (BPRM) allow to assess a health risk in a multi-exposed population. These mixture models cluster individuals according to their exposure profile and their health risk. However, their results, based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Fendler Julie , Guihenneuc Chantal , Ancelet Sophie

When approaching the continuum limit in lattice QCD or other theories in a setup with topological sectors, conventional update algorithms experience a particularly severe form of critical slowing down that is caused by high action barriers…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-03-28 Timo Eichhorn , Gianluca Fuwa , Christian Hoelbling , Lukas Varnhorst

Divide-and-conquer MCMC is a strategy for parallelising Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling by running independent samplers on disjoint subsets of a dataset and merging their output. An ongoing challenge in the literature is to efficiently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 C. Trojan , P. Fearnhead , C. Nemeth

Optimizing or sampling complex cost functions of combinatorial optimization problems is a longstanding challenge across disciplines and applications. When employing family of conventional algorithms based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Dmitrii Dobrynin , Masoud Mohseni , John Paul Strachan

Many problems in the physical sciences, machine learning, and statistical inference necessitate sampling from a high-dimensional, multi-modal probability distribution. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, the ubiquitous tool for this…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-12 Marylou Gabrié , Grant M. Rotskoff , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We give conditions under which a Markov chain constructed via parallel or simulated tempering is guaranteed to be rapidly mixing, which are applicable to a wide range of multimodal distributions arising in Bayesian statistical inference and…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Dawn B. Woodard , Scott C. Schmidler , Mark Huber

Adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which automatically tune their parameters based on past samples, have proved extremely useful in practice. The self-tuning mechanism makes them `non-Markovian', which means that their…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Pietari Laitinen , Matti Vihola

We make two closely related theoretical contributions to the use of importance sampling schemes. First, for independent sampling, we prove that the minimax optimal trial distribution coincides with the target if and only if the target…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-25 Quan Zhou

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu