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This paper provides a new methodology to analyze unobserved heterogeneity when observed characteristics are modeled nonlinearly. The proposed model builds on varying random coefficients (VRC) that are determined by nonlinear functions of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-05 Christoph Breunig

We study the problem of reconstructing a convex body using only a finite number of measurements of outer normal vectors. More precisely, we suppose that the normal vectors are measured at independent random locations uniformly distributed…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-02-21 Hiba Abdallah , Quentin Mérigot

We construct confidence sets for the regression function in nonparametric binary regression with an unknown design density. These confidence sets are adaptive in $L^2$ loss over a continuous class of Sobolev type spaces. Adaptation holds in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-04 Rajarshi Mukherjee , Subhabrata Sen

We propose a method for high dimensional multivariate regression that is robust to random error distributions that are heavy-tailed or contain outliers, while preserving estimation accuracy in normal random error distributions. We extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mayu Hiraishi , Kensuke Tanioka , Hiroshi Yadohisa

We use integration by parts formulas to give estimates for the $L^p$ norm of the Riesz transform. This is motivated by the representation formula for conditional expectations of functionals on the Wiener space already given in Malliavin and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino

We present new estimators of the mean of a real valued random variable, based on PAC-Bayesian iterative truncation. We analyze the non-asymptotic minimax properties of the deviations of estimators for distributions having either a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-30 Olivier Catoni

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We estimate density and regression functions for weak dependant datas. Using an exponential inequality obtained by Dedecker and Prieur and in a previous article of the author, we control the deviation between the estimator and the function…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Véronique Maume-Deschamps

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many observations of the densities is a central problem in machine learning and statistics with applications in two-sample testing, divergence estimation, generative modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Werner Zellinger , Stefan Kindermann , Sergei V. Pereverzyev

In this paper, we develop efficient randomized algorithms for estimating probabilistic robustness margin and constructing robustness degradation curve for uncertain dynamic systems. One remarkable feature of these algorithms is their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Starting from the observation of an R^n-Gaussian vector of mean f and covariance matrix \sigma^2 I_n (I_n is the identity matrix), we propose a method for building a Euclidean confidence ball around f, with prescribed probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yannick Baraud

We consider the signal detection problem in the Gaussian design trace regression model with low rank alternative hypotheses. We derive the precise (Ingster-type) detection boundary for the Frobenius and the nuclear norm. We then apply these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-10 Alexandra Carpentier , Richard Nickl

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

We propose a reconstruction of vortex beams based on the implementation of quadratic transformations in the orbital angular momentum. The information is encoded in a superposition of Bessel-like nondiffracting beams. The measurement of the…

Optics · Physics 2015-05-18 J. Rehacek , Z. Hradil , Z. Bouchal , A. B. Klimov , I. Rigas , L. L. Sanchez-Soto

This paper studies and critically discusses the construction of nonparametric confidence regions for density level sets. Methodologies based on both vertical variation and horizontal variation are considered. The investigations provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Wanli Qiao , Wolfgang Polonik

As a classical problem, covariance estimation has drawn much attention from the statistical community for decades. Much work has been done under the frequentist and the Bayesian frameworks. Aiming to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-17 W. Jenny Shi , Jan Hannig , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee

Standard statistical analysis is unable to provide reliable confidence intervals on expectation values of probability distributions that do not satisfy the conditions of the central limit theorem. We present a regression-based estimator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-24 Pablo Lopez Rios , Gareth J. Conduit