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The density ratio is an important metric for evaluating the relative likelihood of two probability distributions, with extensive applications in statistics and machine learning. However, existing estimation theories for density ratios often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Shuntuo Xu , Zhou Yu , Jian Huang

We consider the problem of predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in a high-dimensional Gaussian model with exact sparsity constraints on the location parameters. We study the first order asymptotic minimax risk of Bayes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Gourab Mukherjee

We propose a new approach for the problem of relative depth estimation from a single image. Instead of directly regressing over depth scores, we formulate the problem as estimation of a probability distribution over depth and aim to learn…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-15 Alican Mertan , Yusuf Huseyin Sahin , Damien Jade Duff , Gozde Unal

In this paper, tight upper and lower bounds are derived on the weighted sum of minimum mean-squared errors for additive Gaussian noise channels. The bounds are obtained by constraining the input distribution to be close to a Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-23 Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor , K. G. Nagananda

We propose a residual randomization procedure designed for robust Lasso-based inference in the high-dimensional setting. Compared to earlier work that focuses on sub-Gaussian errors, the proposed procedure is designed to work robustly in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Y. Samuel Wang , Si Kai Lee , Panos Toulis , Mladen Kolar

This paper studies the construction of adaptive confidence intervals under Huber's contamination model when the contamination proportion is unknown. For the robust confidence interval of a Gaussian mean, we show that the optimal length of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yuetian Luo , Chao Gao

We establish new tail estimates for order statistics and for the Euclidean norms of projections of an isotropic log-concave random vector. More generally, we prove tail estimates for the norms of projections of sums of independent…

We propose a novel statistical test to assess the mutual independence of multidimensional random vectors. Our approach is based on the $L_1$-distance between the joint density function and the product of the marginal densities associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Nour-Eddine Berrahou , Salim Bouzebda , Lahcen Douge

The trust-region (TR) method is renowned historically for its robustness in nonconvex problems and extraordinary numerical performance, but the study of its performance in convex optimization is somehow limited. This paper complements the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Yuntian Jiang , Chang He , Chuwen Zhang , Dongdong Ge , Bo Jiang , Yinyu Ye

We develop a novel computationally efficient and general framework for robust hypothesis testing. The new framework features a new way to construct uncertainty sets under the null and the alternative distributions, which are sets centered…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-29 Rui Gao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

We prove a pointwise version of the multi-dimensional central limit theorem for convex bodies. Namely, let X be an isotropic random vector in R^n with a log-concave density. For a typical subspace E in R^n of dimension n^c, consider the…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2007-08-21 Ronen Eldan , Bo'az Klartag

We study different estimators of the radius of convergence of the Taylor series of the pressure in finite density QCD. We adopt the approach in which the radius of convergence is estimated first in a finite volume, and the infinite-volume…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-07-03 Matteo Giordano , Attila Pásztor

We study the problem of estimating linear response statistics under external perturbations using time series of unperturbed dynamics. Based on the fluctuation-dissipation theory, this problem is reformulated as an unsupervised learning task…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 He Zhang , John Harlim , Xiantao Li

Robust Bayesian inference is the calculation of posterior probability bounds given perturbations in a probabilistic model. This paper focuses on perturbations that can be expressed locally in Bayesian networks through convex sets of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Fabio Gagliardi Cozman

We propose a methodology for constructing confidence regions with partially identified models of general form. The region is obtained by inverting a test of internal consistency of the econometric structure. We develop a dilation bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-10 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

In a recent paper, Nguyen, Kuhn, and Esfahani (2018) built a distributionally robust estimator for the precision matrix of the Gaussian distribution. The distributional uncertainty size is a key ingredient in the construction of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Jose Blanchet , Nian Si

Rating systems are ubiquitous, with applications ranging from product recommendation to teaching evaluations. Confidence intervals for functionals of rating data such as empirical means or quantiles are critical to decision-making in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Robert Nowak , Ervin Tánczos

We consider deconvolution from repeated observations with unknown error distribution. So far, this model has mostly been studied under the additional assumption that the errors are symmetric. We construct an estimator for the non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus , Fabienne Comte

Relative surprise regions are shown to minimize, among Bayesian credible regions, the prior probability of covering a false value from the prior. Such regions are also shown to be unbiased in the sense that the prior probability of covering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-22 M. Evans , M. Shakhatreh

We develop a probabilistic method for assessing the tail behavior and geometric stability of one-dimensional n i.i.d. samples by tracking how their span contracts when the most extreme points are trimmed. Central to our approach is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Erwan Dereure , Emmanuel Akame Mfoumou , David Holcman
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