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Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

Few assets in financial history have been as notoriously volatile as cryptocurrencies. While the long term outlook for this asset class remains unclear, we are successful in making short term price predictions for several major crypto…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 David Zhao , Alessandro Rinaldo , Christopher Brookins

Based on the high-frequency recordings from Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange and professional trading platform that aims to bring Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies into the mainstream, the multiscale cross-correlations involving the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-22 Stanisław Drożdż , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek , Marcin Wątorek

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Seminal work of Eyal and Sirer (2014) establishes that a strategic Bitcoin miner may strictly profit by deviating from the intended Bitcoin protocol, using a strategy now termed *selfish mining*. More specifically, any miner with $>1/3$ of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Maryam Bahrani , S. Matthew Weinberg

This paper presents an agent-based artificial cryptocurrency market in which heterogeneous agents buy or sell cryptocurrencies, in particular Bitcoins. In this market, there are two typologies of agents, Random Traders and Chartists, which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Luisanna Cocco , Giulio Concas , Michele Marchesi

Prediction markets have gained adoption as on-chain mechanisms for aggregating information, with platforms such as Polymarket demonstrating demand for stablecoin-denominated markets. However, denominating in non-interest-bearing stablecoins…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Fedor Shabashev

We revisit the fundamental question of Bitcoin's security against double spending attacks. While previous work has bounded the probability that a transaction is reversed, we show that no such guarantee can be effectively given if the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-06-01 Yonatan Sompolinsky , Aviv Zohar

During times of extreme market turmoil, it is acknowledged that there is a tendency towards "flight to safety". A strong (weak) safe haven is defined as an asset that has a significant positive (negative) return in periods where another…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-02 Jamal Bouoiyour , Refk Selmi

Improving transaction throughput is an important challenge for Bitcoin. However, shortening the block generation interval or increasing the block size to improve throughput makes it sharing blocks within the network slower and increases the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Ryunosuke Nagayama , Kazuyuki Shudo , Ryohei Banno

In the last years, cryptocurrencies are increasingly popular. Even people who are not experts have started to invest in these securities and nowadays cryptocurrency exchanges process transactions for over 100 billion US dollars per month.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Massimo La Morgia , Alessandro Mei , Francesco Sassi , Julinda Stefa

Bitcoin is currently subject to a significant pay-for-speed trade-off. This is caused by lengthy and highly variable transaction confirmation times, especially during times of congestion. Users can reduce their transaction confirmation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Rowel Gündlach , Ivo V. Stoepker , Stella Kapodistria , Jacques A. C. Resing

Blockchain enables peer-to-peer transactions in cyberspace without a trusted third party. The rapid growth of Ethereum and smart contract blockchains generally calls for well-designed Transaction Fee Mechanisms (TFMs) to allocate limited…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-05 Luyao Zhang , Fan Zhang

Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, in particular, are prone to wild swings resulting in frequent jumps in prices, making them historically popular for traders to speculate. A better understanding of these fluctuations can greatly benefit crypto…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Edson Pindza , Jules Clement Mba , Sutene Mwambi , Nneka Umeorah

We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe's law based on network properties, a fundamental value…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-16 Spencer Wheatley , Didier Sornette , Tobias Huber , Max Reppen , Robert N. Gantner

This paper describes an architecture for predicting the price of cryptocurrencies for the next seven days using the Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Historical data of cryptocurrencies and indexes that are considered…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Ali Mehrban , Pegah Ahadian

This study explores the intersection of technological innovation and environmental sustainability in the context of Bitcoin mining. With Bitcoin's growing adoption, concerns surrounding the energy consumption and environmental impact of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Mohammad Ikbal Hossain , Tanja Steigner

Bitcoin, a decentralized cryptocurrency, has attracted a lot of attention from academia, financial service industry and enthusiasts. The trade-off between transaction confirmation throughput and centralization of hash power do not allow…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Danil Nemirovsky

We consider the execution of smart contracts on Bitcoin. There, every contract step corresponds to appending to the blockchain a new transaction that spends the output representing the old contract state, creating a new one for the updated…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Dario Maddaloni , Riccardo Marchesin , Roberto Zunino

The spectacular success of Bitcoin and Blockchain Technology in recent years has provided enough evidence that a widespread adoption of a common cryptocurrency system is not merely a distant vision, but a scenario that might come true in…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Adam Gągol , Damian Leśniak , Damian Straszak , Michał Świętek
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