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Variable selection naturally arises as a useful subject when faced with data with massive predictor space. In addition to the massive dimensionality, the data may be characterized by intra-subject correlation, and cure fraction, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Richard Tawiah , Shu Kay Ng , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

A novel mixture cure frailty model is introduced for handling censored survival data. Mixture cure models are preferable when the existence of a cured fraction among patients can be assumed. However, such models are heavily underexplored:…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fatih Kızılaslan , David Michael Swanson , Valeria Vitelli

When a biological system robustly corrects component-level errors, the direct pressure on component performance declines. Components may become less reliable, maintain more genetic variability, or drift neutrally in design, creating the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-27 Steven A. Frank

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng

We discuss conditionalisation for Accept-Desirability models in an abstract decision-making framework, where uncertain rewards live in a general linear space, and events are special projection operators on that linear space. This abstract…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Kathelijne Coussement , Gert de Cooman , Keano De Vos

For the last years, time-series mining has become a challenging issue for researchers. An important application lies in most monitoring purposes, which require analyzing large sets of time-series for learning usual patterns. Any deviation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Florence Duchene , Catherine Garbay , Vincent Rialle

We present a statistical perspective on boosting. Special emphasis is given to estimating potentially complex parametric or nonparametric models, including generalized linear and additive models as well as regression models for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Peter Bühlmann , Torsten Hothorn

Frailty models are essential tools in survival analysis for addressing unobserved heterogeneity and random effects in the data. These models incorporate a random effect, the frailty, which is assumed to impact the hazard rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Jorge Yslas

Causal structure learning refers to a process of identifying causal structures from observational data, and it can have multiple applications in biomedicine and health care. This paper provides a practical review and tutorial on scalable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Pulakesh Upadhyaya , Kai Zhang , Can Li , Xiaoqian Jiang , Yejin Kim

Inferring individualised treatment effects from observational data can unlock the potential for targeted interventions. It is, however, hard to infer these effects from observational data. One major problem that can arise is covariate shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Damian Machlanski , Spyros Samothrakis , Paul Clarke

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

We propose a novel approach to model selection for simulator-based statistical models. The proposed approach defines a mixture of candidate models, and then iteratively updates the weight coefficients for those models as well as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-08 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Yuuki Nakaguchi , Kanishka Khandelwal , Kenji Fukumiziu

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Causal effect estimation aims at estimating the Average Treatment Effect as well as the Conditional Average Treatment Effect of a treatment to an outcome from the available data. This knowledge is important in many safety-critical domains,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Niki Kiriakidou , Ioannis E. Livieris , Christos Diou

We propose a generalized extreme shock model with a possibly increasing failure threshold. While standard models assume that the crucial threshold for the system may only decrease over time, because of weakening shocks and obsolescence, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler

How best to incentivise prompt disclosure? We study this question in a general model in which a technological breakthrough occurs at an uncertain time and is privately observed by an agent, and a principal must incentivise disclosure via…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-09 Gregorio Curello , Ludvig Sinander

We propose a novel model-based clustering approach for samples of time series. We assume as a unique commonality that two observations belong to the same group if structural changes in their behaviours happen at the same time. We resort to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Riccardo Corradin , Luca Danese , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Andrea Ongaro

Since survival data occur over time, often important covariates that we wish to consider also change over time. Such covariates are referred as time-dependent covariates. Quantile regression offers flexible modeling of survival data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-01 Malka Gorfine , Yair Goldberg , Yaacov Ritov

Behavioral adoptions are influenced by peers in different ways. While some individuals may change after a single incoming influence, others need multiple cumulated attempts. These two mechanism, known as the simple and the complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-02 Elsa Andres , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras , Michele Starnini , Márton Karsai