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The prediction of the behavior of the disease, the level of affectation in a population and the ways to control it are the most important aspects studied by epidemiology using tools such as historical data and mathematical models. So, our…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-04 Jorge Andrés Ibáñez Huertas , Carlos Isaac Zainea Maya

The importance of indoor human mobility in the transmission dynamics of respiratory infectious diseases has been acknowledged. Previous studies have predominantly addressed a single type of mobility behavior such as queueing and a series of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Ziwei Cui , Ming Cai , Zheng Zhu , Gongbo Chen , Yao Xiao

Understanding human behavior in built environments is critical for designing functional, user centered urban spaces. Traditional approaches, such as manual observations, surveys, and simplified simulations, often fail to capture the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ariel Noyman , Kai Hu , Kent Larson

Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission typically neglect within-host dynamics. Yet within-host dynamics - including pathogen replication, host immune responses, and interactions with microbiota - are crucial not only for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-20 Cameron A. Smith , Ben Ashby

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Spatial spread of infectious diseases among populations via the mobility of humans is highly stochastic and heterogeneous. Accurate forecast/mining of the spread process is often hard to be achieved by using statistical or mechanical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Jian-Bo Wang , Lin Wang , Xiang Li

A high fidelity model for the propagation of pathogens via aerosols in the presence of moving pedestrians is proposed. The key idea is the tight coupling of computational fluid dynamics and computational crowd dynamics in order to capture…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Rainald Löhner , Harbir Antil

There has been an increasing recognition of the utility of models of the spatial dynamics of viral spread within tissues. Multicellular models, where cells are represented as discrete regions of space coupled to a virus density surface, are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-02 Thomas Williams , James McCaw , James Osborne

Human moving path is an important feature in architecture design. By studying the path, architects know where to arrange the basic elements (e.g. structures, glasses, furniture, etc.) in the space. This paper presents SimArch, a multi-agent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Yen-Chia Hsu

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken millions of lives, demonstrating the tragedy and disruption of respiratory diseases, and how difficult they can be to manage. However, there is still significant debate in the scientific community as to which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Panagiotis Demis , Ishanki De Mel , Hayley Wragg , Michael Short , Oleksiy V. Klymenko

Contacts' temporal ordering and dynamics are crucial for understanding the transmission of infectious diseases. We introduce an interaction-driven model of an airborne disease over contact networks. We demonstrate our interaction-driven…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Alex Abbey , Yanir Marmor , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

Social and biological contagions are influenced by the spatial embeddedness of networks. Historically, many epidemics spread as a wave across part of the Earth's surface; however, in modern contagions long-range edges -- for example, due to…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-07-31 Dane Taylor , Florian Klimm , Heather A. Harrington , Miroslav Kramar , Konstantin Mischaikow , Mason A. Porter , Peter J. Mucha

There is growing recognition in both the experimental and modelling literature of the importance of spatial structure to the dynamics of viral infections in tissues. Aided by the evolution of computing power and motivated by recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Thomas Williams , James M. McCaw , James M. Osborne

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

We focus on the modeling and simulation of an infectious disease spreading in a medium size population occupying a confined environment, such as an airport terminal, for short periods of time. Because of the size of the crowd and venue, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-27 Daewa Kim , Annalisa Quaini

The main aim to build models capable of simulating the spreading of infectious diseases is to control them. And along this way, the key to find the optimal strategy for disease control is to obtain a large number of simulations of disease…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Ting Wang , Gui-Yun Li , Xin-Hui Li , Chi-Chun Zhou , Yuan-Yuan Wang , Li-Juan Li , Yan-Ting Yang

We consider a Spatial Markov Chain model for the spread of viruses. The model is based on the principle to represent a graph connecting nodes, which represent humans. The vertices between the nodes represent relations between humans. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-14 Fred Vermolen

Disease outbreaks, such as those of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003 and the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) influenza, have highlighted the potential for airborne transmission in indoor environments. Respirable pathogen-carrying droplets…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-10 M. Robinson , N. I. Stilianakis , Y. Drossinos

The spread of invasive species can have far reaching environmental and ecological consequences. Understanding invasion spread patterns and the underlying process driving invasions are key to predicting and managing invasions. We combine a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-12 Joshua Goldstein , Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran , Andrew Liebhold , Ottar N. Bjornstad