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Three-dimensional (3D) finite-element simulations of cardiovascular flows provide high-fidelity predictions to support cardiovascular medicine, but their high computational cost limits clinical practicality. Reduced-order models (ROMs)…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Natalia L. Rubio , Eric F. Darve , Alison L. Marsden

We propose an adaptive design for early phase drug combination cancer trials with the goal of estimating the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). A nonparametric Bayesian model, using beta priors truncated to the set of partially ordered dose…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Zahra S. Razaee , Galen Wien-Cook , Mourad Tighiouart

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan

Traditionally, the major objective in phase I trials is to identify a working-dose for subsequent studies, whereas the major endpoint in phase II and III trials is treatment efficacy. The dose sought is typically referred to as the maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-14 Mourad Tighiouart , André Rogatko

We consider a two-road dynamic routing game where the state of one of the roads (the "risky road") is stochastic and may change over time. This generates room for experimentation. A central planner may wish to induce some of the (finite…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Emily Meigs , Francesca Parise , Asuman Ozdaglar , Daron Acemoglu

Sequential trial design is an important statistical approach to increase the efficiency of clinical trials. Bayesian sequential trial design relies primarily on conducting a Monte Carlo simulation under the hypotheses of interest and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Riko Kelter , Samuel Pawel

The study of combinations of drugs/drug-schedules gained increasing attention in various therapeutic areas recently. In oncology, the aim of phase I combination clinical trial is to find the maximum tolerated combination (MTC). Many…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Weishi Chen , Pavel Mozgunov

Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Dose selection is critical in pharmaceutical drug development, as it directly impacts therapeutic efficacy and patient safety of a drug. The Generalized Multiple Comparison Procedures and Modeling (MCP-Mod) approach is commonly used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Lukas Pin , Oleksandr Sverdlov , Frank Bretz , Björn Bornkamp

Bayesian optimization (BO) has gained attention as an efficient algorithm for black-box optimization of expensive-to-evaluate systems, where the BO algorithm iteratively queries the system and suggests new trials based on a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Eike Cramer , Luis Kutschat , Oliver Stollenwerk , Joel A. Paulson , Alexander Mitsos

We consider a Bayesian framework based on "probability of decision" for dose-finding trial designs. The proposed PoD-BIN design evaluates the posterior predictive probabilities of up-and-down decisions. In PoD-BIN, multiple grades of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Meizi Liu , Yuan Ji , Ji Lin

We describe the R package MOODE and demonstrate its use to find multi-objective optimal experimental designs. Multi-Objective Optimal Design of Experiments (MOODE) targets the experimental objectives directly, ensuring that the full set of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-24 Vasiliki Koutra , Olga Egorova , Steven G. Gilmour , Luzia A. Trinca

Adaptive designs are commonly used in clinical and drug development studies for optimum utilization of available resources. In this article, we consider the problem of estimating the effect of the selected (better) treatment using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-24 Masihuddin , Neeraj Misra

Efficient design of genomic perturbation experiments is crucial for accelerating drug discovery and therapeutic target identification, yet exhaustive perturbation of the human genome remains infeasible due to the vast search space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Yanke Li , Tianyu Cui , Tommaso Mansi , Mangal Prakash , Rui Liao

Many real-world experimental design problems (a) evaluate multiple experimental conditions in parallel and (b) replicate each condition multiple times due to large and heteroscedastic observation noise. Given a fixed total budget, this…

Development and optimization of biopharmaceutical production processes with cell cultures is cost- and time-consuming and often performed rather empirically. Efficient optimization of multiple-objectives like process time, viable cell…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Tanja Hernández Rodríguez , Anton Sekulic , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Björn Frahm

The challenge in biomarker discovery using machine learning from omics data lies in the abundance of molecular features but scarcity of samples. Most feature selection methods in machine learning require evaluating various sets of features…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Luca Cattelani , Vittorio Fortino

Hybrid clinical trials, that borrow real-world data (RWD), are gaining interest, especially for rare diseases. They assume RWD and randomized control arm be exchangeable, but violations can bias results, inflate type I error, or reduce…

A 'dual-field' strategy is often used for tumors with highly complex shapes and/or with large volumes exceeding available field-size in both passive and scanning irradiations with ion beams. Range and setup uncertainties can cause hot and…

Medical Physics · Physics 2010-10-06 Taku Inaniwa , Nobuyuki Kanematsu , Takuji Furukawa , Koji Noda

In this paper we consider two-stage adaptive dose-response study designs, where the study design is changed at an interim analysis based on the information collected so far. In a simulation study, two approaches will be compared for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-08 Emma McCallum , Björn Bornkamp