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FDA's Project Optimus initiative for oncology drug development emphasizes selecting a dose that optimizes both efficacy and safety. When an inferentially adaptive Phase 2/3 design with dose selection is implemented to comply with the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Cong Chen , Mo Huang , Xuekui Zhang

Traditional phase I dose finding cancer clinical trial designs aim to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of the investigational cytotoxic agent based on a single toxicity outcome, assuming a monotone dose-response relationship.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Hao Sun , Hsin-Yu Lin , Jieqi Tu , Revathi Ananthakrishnan , Eunhee Kim

The FDA's Project Optimus initiative emphasizes patient-centered dose selection in oncology that balances efficacy and safety. We develop a framework for randomized dose optimization studies that uses clinically interpretable utility scores…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xuemin Gu , Cong Xu , Lei Xu , Ying Yu

Modern clinical trials and cohort studies gather low-cost data on all participants but may have limited resources to assess expensive exposures such as biomarkers or genomic data. When interest lies in associations involving expensive…

Cohort-based enrollment can slow down dose-finding trials since the outcomes of the previous cohort must be fully evaluated before the next cohort can be enrolled. This results in frequent suspension of patient enrollment. The issue is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Tianjian Zhou , Wentian Guo , Yuan Ji

Multi-arm multi-stage trial designs can bring notable gains in efficiency to the drug development process. However, for normally distributed endpoints, the determination of a design typically depends on the assumption that the patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

We study the problem of finding the optimal dosage in early stage clinical trials through the multi-armed bandit lens. We advocate the use of the Thompson Sampling principle, a flexible algorithm that can accommodate different types of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-09 Maryam Aziz , Emilie Kaufmann , Marie-Karelle Riviere

I study the minimax-optimal design for a two-arm controlled experiment where conditional mean outcomes may vary in a given set. When this set is permutation symmetric, the optimal design is complete randomization, and using a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-08 Nathan Kallus

Phase I dose-finding trials in oncology seek to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) of a drug under a specific schedule. Evaluating drug-schedules aims at improving treatment safety while maintaining efficacy. However, while we can…

In the development of new cancer treatment, an essential step is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) via phase I clinical trials. Generally speaking, phase I trial designs can be classified as either model-based or algorithm-based…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-02 Huaqing Jin , Wenbin Du , Guosheng Yin

With the development of novel therapies such as molecularly targeted agents and immunotherapy, the maximum tolerated dose paradigm that "more is better" does not necessarily hold anymore. In this context, doses and schedules of novel…

Background. The DURATIONS design has been recently proposed as a practical alternative to a standard two-arm non-inferiority design when the goal is to optimise some continuous aspect of treatment administration, e.g. duration or frequency,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-20 Matteo Quartagno , Ehsan Ghorani , Tim P Morris , Michael J Seckl , Mahesh KB Parmar

Combination of several anti-cancer treatments has typically been presumed to have enhanced drug activity. Motivated by a real clinical trial, this paper considers phase I-II dose finding designs for dual-agent combinations, where one main…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 José L. Jiménez , Haiyan Zheng

Nowadays, more and more clinical trials choose combinational agents as the intervention to achieve better therapeutic responses. However, dose-finding for combinational agents is much more complicated than single agent as the full order of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-05 Shu Wang , Ji-Hyun Lee

Chemotherapy is one of the primary modalities of cancer treatment. Chemotherapy drug administration is a complex problem that often requires expensive clinical trials to evaluate potential regimens. One way to alleviate this burden and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-04 Temitayo Ajayi , Seyedmohammadhossein Hosseinian , Andrew J. Schaefer , Clifton D. Fuller

Conventionally, a first-in-human phase I trial in healthy volunteers aims to confirm the safety of a drug in humans. In such situations, volunteers should not suffer from any safety issues and simple algorithm-based dose-escalation schemes…

Significant evidence has become available that emphasizes the importance of personalization in medicine. In fact, it has become a common belief that personalized medicine is the future of medicine. The core of personalized medicine is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Qiong Zhang , Amin Khademi , Yongjia Song

The Bayesian Optimal Phase II (BOP2) framework is a flexible trial design that can naturally facilitate complex adaptations due to its Bayesian setting. BOP2 uses equal randomisation and equally placed interim analyses in its design, but it…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-19 Connor Fitchett , Ayon Mukherjee , Sofía S. Villar , David S. Robertson

The primary objective of phase I cancer clinical trials is to evaluate the safety of a new experimental treatment and to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). We show that the MTD estimation problem can be regarded as a level set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Keiichiro Seno , Kota Matsui , Shogo Iwazaki , Yu Inatsu , Shion Takeno , Shigeyuki Matsui

An important experimental design problem in early-stage drug discovery is how to prioritize available compounds for testing when very little is known about the target protein. Informer based ranking (IBR) methods address the prioritization…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Peng Yu , Spencer S. Ericksen , Anthony Gitter , Michael A. Newton