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We provide adaptive confidence intervals on a parameter of interest in the presence of nuisance parameters when some of the nuisance parameters have known signs. The confidence intervals are adaptive in the sense that they tend to be short…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-20 Philipp Ketz , Adam McCloskey

Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) is a widely used framework for the training of language models. However, the process of using RLHF to develop a language model that is well-aligned presents challenges, especially when it…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Bowen Qin , Duanyu Feng , Xi Yang

This paper examines the extent to which individual time preferences are associated with the willingness to accept different tax burdens. The first is an intertemporal redistribution in which a current consumption tax increase is exchanged…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Eiji Yamamura , Fumio Ohtake

Determining consumer preferences and utility is a foundational challenge in economics. They are central in determining consumer behaviour through the utility-maximising consumer decision-making process. However, preferences and utilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Marta Grzeskiewicz

Link prediction appears as a central problem of network science, as it calls for unfolding the mechanisms that govern the micro-dynamics of the network. In this work, we are interested in ego-networks, that is the mere information of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-12-16 Lionel Tabourier , Anne-Sophie Libert , Renaud Lambiotte

Reward models (RMs) are central to the alignment of language models (LMs). An RM often serves as a proxy for human preferences to guide downstream LM behavior. However, our understanding of RM behavior is limited. Our work (i) formalizes a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Elle

We study the welfare effects of overreaction to information in the form of diagnostic expectations in markets with asymmetric information, and the effect of a simple intervention in the form of a tax or a subsidy. A large enough level of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-14 Matteo Bizzarri , Daniele d'Arienzo

Most psychophysical experiments discard half the data collected. Specifically, experiments discard reaction time data, and use binary responses (e.g. yes/no) to measure performance. Here, Shannon's information theory is used to define…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-14 James V Stone

Preference-based reward learning is a popular technique for teaching robots and autonomous systems how a human user wants them to perform a task. Previous works have shown that actively synthesizing preference queries to maximize…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Evan Ellis , Gaurav R. Ghosal , Stuart J. Russell , Anca Dragan , Erdem Bıyık

A modelling language is described which is suitable for the correlation of information when the underlying functional model of the system is incomplete or uncertain and the temporal dependencies are imprecise. An efficient and incremental…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 John Bigham

In many applications, observed data are influenced by some combination of latent causes. For example, suppose sensors are placed inside a building to record responses such as temperature, humidity, power consumption and noise levels. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Sinead A. Williamson , Michael Minyi Zhang , Paul Damien

We propose opportunistic evaluation, a framework for accelerating interactions with dataframes. Interactive latency is critical for iterative, human-in-the-loop dataframe workloads for supporting exploratory data analysis. Opportunistic…

Probing techniques have shown promise in revealing how LLMs encode human-interpretable concepts, particularly when applied to curated datasets. However, the factors governing a dataset's suitability for effective probe training are not…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Yongjie Wang , Yibo Wang , Xin Zhou , Zhiqi Shen

Animals exploit time to survive in the world. Temporal information is required for higher-level cognitive abilities such as planning, decision making, communication, and effective cooperation. Since time is an inseparable part of cognition,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Hamit Basgol , Inci Ayhan , Emre Ugur

Groups coordinate more effectively when individuals are able to learn from others' successes. But acquiring such knowledge is not always easy, especially in real-world environments where success is hidden from public view. We suggest that…

Regression with compositional response or covariates, or even regression between parts of a composition, is frequently employed in social sciences. Among other possible applications, it may help to reveal interesting features in time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Ivo Muller , Karel Hron , Eva Fiserova , Jan Smahaj , Panajotis Cakirpaloglu , Jana Vancakova

Understanding user preference is essential to the optimization of recommender systems. As a feedback of user's taste, rating scores can directly reflect the preference of a given user to a given product. Uncovering the latent components of…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2017-10-20 Junhua Chen , Wei Zeng , Junming Shao , Ge Fan

Financial time series exhibit a number of interesting properties that are difficult to explain with simple models. These properties include fat-tails in the distribution of price fluctuations (or returns) that are slowly removed at longer…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Raoul Golan , Austin Gerig

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

This paper investigates the value of recommendations for disseminating economic information, with a focus on frictions resulting from preference heterogeneity. We consider Bayesian expected-payoff maximizers who receive non-strategic…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-02 Jean-Michel Benkert , Armin Schmutzler