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Causal discovery from observational data typically assumes access to complete data and availability of perfect domain experts. In practice, data often arrive in batches, are subject to sampling bias, and expert knowledge is scarce. Language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Prakhar Verma , David Arbour , Sunav Choudhary , Harshita Chopra , Arno Solin , Atanu R. Sinha

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We consider the problem of detecting a small subset of defective items from a large set via non-adaptive "random pooling" group tests. We consider both the case when the measurements are noiseless, and the case when the measurements are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-07-25 Chun Lam Chan , Pak Hou Che , Sidharth Jaggi , Venkatesh Saligrama

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

Inspired by the recent proposal by Feldman and Cousins of a ``unified approach to the classical statistical analysis of small signals'' based on a choice of ordering in Neyman's construction of classical confidence intervals, I propose a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-07-19 C. Giunti

This paper describes a Bayesian method for learning causal networks using samples that were selected in a non-random manner from a population of interest. Examples of data obtained by non-random sampling include convenience samples and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Gregory F. Cooper

We are interested in learning how listeners perceive sounds as having human origins. An experiment was performed with a series of electronically synthesized sounds, and listeners were asked to compare them in pairs. We propose a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-03 Marta Crispino , Elja Arjas , Valeria Vitelli , Natasha Barrett , Arnoldo Frigessi

In reinforcement learning, we can learn a model of future observations and rewards, and use it to plan the agent's next actions. However, jointly modeling future observations can be computationally expensive or even intractable if the…

This paper considers the problem of learning the parameters in Bayesian networks of discrete variables with known structure and hidden variables. Previous approaches in these settings typically use expectation maximization; when the network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Yonatan Halpern , David Sontag

Estimating the rank of a corrupted data matrix is an important task in data analysis, most notably for choosing the number of components in PCA. Significant progress on this task was achieved using random matrix theory by characterizing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Boris Landa , Thomas T. C. K. Zhang , Yuval Kluger

Preordering is a generalization of clustering and partial ordering with applications in bioinformatics and social network analysis. Given a finite set $V$ and a value $c_{ab} \in \mathbb{R}$ for every ordered pair $ab$ of elements of $V$,…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-05-14 David Stein , Jannik Irmai , Bjoern Andres

The problem of subgroups is ubiquitous in scientific research (ex. disease heterogeneity, spatial distributions in ecology...), and piecewise regression is one way to deal with this phenomenon. Morse-Smale regression offers a way to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-22 Colleen M. Farrelly

This paper investigates statistical inference for noisy matrix completion in a semi-supervised model when auxiliary covariates are available. The model consists of two parts. One part is a low-rank matrix induced by unobserved latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Shujie Ma , Po-Yao Niu , Yichong Zhang , Yinchu Zhu

Existing partial sequence labeling models mainly focus on max-margin framework which fails to provide an uncertainty estimation of the prediction. Further, the unique ground truth disambiguation strategy employed by these models may include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Xiaolei Lu , Tommy W. S. Chow

We study the problem of learning clusters of partially observed linear dynamical systems from multiple input-output trajectories. This setting is particularly relevant when there are limited observations (e.g., short trajectories) from…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-24 Maryann Rui , Munther A. Dahleh

Crowdsourcing has emerged as an effective means for performing a number of machine learning tasks such as annotation and labelling of images and other data sets. In most early settings of crowdsourcing, the task involved classification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Desmond Cai , Duc Thien Nguyen , Shiau Hong Lim , Laura Wynter