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We study properties of the cross-sectional distribution of returns. A significant anti-correlation between dispersion and cross-sectional kurtosis is found such that dispersion is high but kurtosis is low in panic times, and the opposite in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-04 Lisa Borland

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the residual autocorrelations for periodic vector autoregressive time series models (PVAR henceforth) with uncorrelated but dependent innovations (i.e., weak PVAR). We then deduce the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Eugen Ursu

In [6], a constraint on invariant measures of bi-permutative cellular automata has been observed: fixed values at the positive indices determine almost-surely a uniform conditional probability on the subset of values of positive conditional…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Matan Tal

Random diffeomorphisms with bounded absolutely continuous noise are known to possess a finite number of stationary measures. We discuss dependence of stationary measures on an auxiliary parameter, thus describing bifurcations of families of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hicham Zmarrou , Ale Jan Homburg

The asymptotic behavior of estimates and information criteria in linear models are studied in the context of hierarchically correlated sampling units. The work is motivated by biological data collected on species where autocorrelation is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Cécile Ané

Confidence sequences are anytime-valid analogues of classical confidence intervals that do not suffer from multiplicity issues under optional continuation of the data collection. As in classical statistics, asymptotic confidence sequences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Felix Gnettner , Claudia Kirch

We consider self-averaging sequences in which each term is a weighted average over previous terms. For several sequences of this kind it is known that they do not converge to a limit. These sequences share the property that $n$th term is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Eric Cator , Henk Don

Regular variation provides a convenient theoretical framework to study large events. In the multivariate setting, the dependence structure of the positive extremes is characterized by a measure - the spectral measure - defined on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Meyer Nicolas , Olivier Wintenberger

We propose a new autocorrelation measure for functional time series that we term spherical autocorrelation. It is based on measuring the average angle between lagged pairs of series after having been projected onto the unit sphere. This new…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-14 Chi-Kuang Yeh , Gregory Rice , Joel A. Dubin

The Thue-Morse sequence is an aperiodically ordered infinite binary sequence. It is used as a one-dimensional way to model the structure of a quasicrystal. For example, taking autocorrelations of these sequences (roughly, measuring how…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-09-23 Darren C. Ong

Confidence sequences are confidence intervals that can be sequentially tracked, and are valid at arbitrary data-dependent stopping times. This paper presents confidence sequences for a univariate mean of an unknown distribution with a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We derive the second-order sampling properties of certain autocovariance and autocorrelation estimators for sequences of independent and identically distributed samples. Specifically, the estimators we consider are the classic lag windowed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 T. D. Carozzi , A. M. Buckley

Pseudo-random sequences with good statistical property, such as low autocorrelation, high linear complexity and large 2-adic complexity, have been applied in stream cipher. In general, it is difficult to give both the linear complexity and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-21 Yuhua Sun , Qiang Wang , Tongjiang Yan

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

Words are sequences of letters over a finite alphabet. We study two intimately related topics for this object: quasi-randomness and limit theory. With respect to the first topic we investigate the notion of uniform distribution of letters…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Hiêp Hàn , Marcos Kiwi , Matías Pavez-Signé

Random graphs have proven to be one of the most important and fruitful concepts in modern Combinatorics and Theoretical Computer Science. Besides being a fascinating study subject for their own sake, they serve as essential instruments in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michael Krivelevich , Benny Sudakov

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

We study the question, ``For which reals $x$ does there exist a measure $\mu$ such that $x$ is random relative to $\mu$?'' We show that for every nonrecursive $x$, there is a measure which makes $x$ random without concentrating on $x$. We…

Logic · Mathematics 2007-07-11 Jan Reimann , Theodore Slaman

Motivated by the known autocorrelation properties of the Rudin-Shapiro sequence, we study the discrete correlation among infinite sequences over a finite alphabet, where we just take into account whether two symbols are identical. We show…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-05-13 E. Grant , J. Shallit , T. Stoll
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