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As part of an effort to develop a systematic methodology for earthquake forecasting, we use a simple model of seismicity based on interacting events which may trigger a cascade of earthquakes, known as the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

A characteristic change of seismicity has been recently uncovered when the precursory Seismic Electric Signals activities initiate before an earthquake occurrence. In particular, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity exhibit…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-03-27 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Efthimios S. Skordas

We discuss the possibility of forecasting earthquakes by means of (anti)neutrino tomography. Antineutrinos emitted from reactors are used as a probe. As the antineutrinos traverse through a region prone to earthquakes, observable variations…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-18 Bin Wang , Ya-Zheng Chen , Xue-Qian Li

Earthquakes are one of the most devastating natural disasters that plague society. A skilled, reliable earthquake forecasting remains the ultimate goal for seismologists. Using the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and conditional…

In this letter, we use deep-learning convolution neural networks (CNNs) to assess the landslide mapping and classification performances on optical images (from Sentinel-2) and SAR images (from Sentinel-1). The training and test zones used…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Lorenzo Nava , Oriol Monserrat , Filippo Catani

Earthquake early warning systems are crucial for protecting areas that are subject to these natural disasters. An essential part of these systems is the detection procedure. Traditionally these systems work with seismograph data, but high…

The determination of seismic event locations with sparse networks or single-borehole systems remains a significant challenge in observational seismology. Leveraging the advantages of the location approach HADES, which was initially…

Recently, slow earthquakes (slow EQ) have received much attention relative to understanding the mechanisms underlying large earthquakes and to detecting their precursors. Low-frequency earthquakes (LFE) are a specific type of slow EQ. In…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-02 Tomoki Tokuda , Hirohiko Shimada

The epidemic-type aftershock sequence model (ETAS) is a simple stochastic process modeling seismicity, based on the two best-established empirical laws, the Omori law (power law decay ~1/t^{1+\theta} of seismicity after an earthquake) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

Earthquake forecasting and prediction have long and in some cases sordid histories but recent work has rekindled interest based on advances in early warning, hazard assessment for induced seismicity and successful prediction of laboratory…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-10-13 Laura Laurenti , Elisa Tinti , Fabio Galasso , Luca Franco , Chris Marone

According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks after a mainshock decays as a power law with an exponent close to 1. This well-established law was intensively used in the past to study and model the statistical properties of…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-08-28 Eitan E. Asher , Shlomo Havlin , Shay Moshel , Yosef Ashkenazy

Reinforced concrete buildings are commonly used around the world. With recent earthquakes worldwide, rapid structural damage inspection and repair cost evaluation are crucial for building owners and policy makers to make informed risk…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Xiao Pan , T. Y. Yang

Machine Learning (ML) methods have demonstrated exceptional performance in recent years when applied to the task of seismic event detection. With numerous ML techniques now available for detecting seismicity, applying these methods in…

The transformation to equivalent dimensions that offers a novel approach for investigating earthquake clustering was engaged to analyze the preparatory phase of the 2020 Samos, Greece, Mw7.0 main shock. The analysis considered earthquakes…

Amongst the available technologies for earthquake research, remote sensing has been commonly used due to its unique features such as fast imaging and wide image-acquisition range. Nevertheless, early studies on pre-earthquake and…

We propose a new metric to quantify the correlation between any two earthquakes. The metric consists of a product involving the time interval and spatial distance between two events, as well as the magnitude of the first one. According to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Marco Baiesi , Maya Paczuski

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

Mainshocks are often followed by increased earthquake activity (aftershocks). According to the Omori-Utsu law, the rate of aftershocks decays as a power law over time. While aftershocks typically occur in the vicinity of the mainshock,…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Yongwen Zhang , Maor Elbaz , Shlomo Havlin , Yosef Ashkenazy

Real-time monitoring of induced seismicity is critical to mitigate operational risks, relying on the rapid and accurate classification of triggered data from continuous data streams. Deep learning models are effective for this purpose but…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-04-14 Ayrat Abdullin , Umair bin Waheed , Leo Eisner , Abdullatif Al-Shuhail

We evaluate the forecasting performance of a deep learning model, originally introduced as a pattern-extraction framework, that operates on the spatiotemporal evolution of seismic b-values in a short-term forecasting context. Model output…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-04 Jonas Köhler , Wei Li , Johannes Faber , Georg Rümpker , Nishtha Srivastava
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