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Identifying the arrival times of seismic P-phases plays a significant role in real-time seismic monitoring, which provides critical guidance for emergency response activities. While considerable research has been conducted on this topic,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-21 Dazhong Shen , Qi Zhang , Tong Xu , Hengshu Zhu , Wenjia Zhao , Zikai Yin , Peilun Zhou , Lihua Fang , Enhong Chen , Hui Xiong

The Tohoku EQ (11th of March, 2011, M = 9.0) in Japan falsified the proposed EQ magnitude range (M = 7.0 - 8.5) of the same seismogenic regional area that had been determined by the compiled hazard maps, study of historical data, or other…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-04-10 C. Thanassoulas , V. Klentos , G. Verveniotis

Earthquakes are complex physical processes driven by the stick-slip motion of a sliding fault. After the main quake, a series of aftershocks typically follows. These are loosely defined as events that follow a given event and occur within…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Pinaki Kumar , Roberto Benzi , Jeannot Trampert , Federico Toschi

The detection of earthquakes is a fundamental prerequisite for seismology and contributes to various research areas, such as forecasting earthquakes and understanding the crust/mantle structure. Recent advances in machine learning…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-14 Tomoki Tokuda , Hiromichi Nagao

Testing earthquake forecasts is essential to obtain scientific information on forecasting models and sufficient credibility for societal usage. We aim at enhancing the testing phase proposed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Jonas R. Brehmer , Kristof Kraus , Tilmann Gneiting , Marcus Herrmann , Warner Marzocchi

Earthquake early warning systems are required to report earthquake locations and magnitudes as quickly as possible before the damaging S wave arrival to mitigate seismic hazards. Deep learning techniques provide potential for extracting…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-02-16 Xiong Zhang , Miao Zhang , Xiao Tian

Here we suggest a new procedure through which one can identify when the accumulation of stresses before major earthquakes (EQs) (of magnitude M 8.2 or larger) occurs. By analyzing the seismicity in the frame of natural time, which is a new…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-02-15 Panayiotis A. Varotsos , Nicholas V. Sarlis , Toshiyasu Nagao

This paper provides theoretical and practical arguments regarding the possibility of predicting strong and major earthquakes worldwide. Many strong and major earthquakes can be predicted at least two to five months in advance, based on…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-04-20 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

An automated, real-time, multiple sensor data source relying and globally applicable earthquake loss model and visualiser is desirable for post-event earthquake analysis. To achieve this there is a need to support rapid data ingestion, loss…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-08-13 Anthony Astoul , Christopher Filliter , Eric Mason , Andrew Rau-Chaplin , Kunal Shridhar , Blesson Varghese , Naman Varshney

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

Post-disaster assessments of buildings and infrastructure are crucial for both immediate recovery efforts and long-term resilience planning. This research introduces an innovative approach to automating post-disaster assessments through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Robinson Umeike , Thang Dao , Shane Crawford

Probabilistic clustering models (or equivalently, mixture models) are basic building blocks in countless statistical models and involve latent random variables over discrete spaces. For these models, posterior inference methods can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Ari Pakman , Yueqi Wang , Catalin Mitelut , JinHyung Lee , Liam Paninski

Earthquake hypocenters form the basis for a wide array of seismological analyses. Pick-based earthquake location workflows rely on the accuracy of phase pickers and may be biased when dealing with complex earthquake sequences in…

Terra Seismic can predict most major earthquakes (M6.2 or greater) at least 2 - 5 months before they will strike. Global earthquake prediction is based on determinations of the stressed areas that will start to behave abnormally before…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-03-18 Oleg Elshin , Andrew A. Tronin

This study describes a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based technique for the prediction of intensity measurements (IMs) of ground shaking. The input data to the CNN model consists of multistation 3C broadband and accelerometric…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-05-13 Dario Jozinović , Anthony Lomax , Ivan Štajduhar , Alberto Michelini

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes (minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for earthquake risk. These are primarily based on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 James R. Holliday , Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo , Kristy F. Tiampo , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte

We present two models for estimating the probabilities of future earthquakes in California, to be tested in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The first, time-independent model, modified from Helmstetter et…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 M. J. Werner , A. Helmstetter , D. D. Jackson , Y. Y. Kagan

Japan's GPS observed the fifteen-month megathrust earthquake genesis process of the 2011 Tohoku M9, suggesting the real-time predictability of such events.

Geophysics · Physics 2023-06-06 Fumihide Takeda

Geoscience and seismology have utilized the most advanced technologies and equipment to monitor seismic events globally from the past few decades. With the enormous amount of data, modern GPU-powered deep learning presents a promising…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-09-14 Bo Feng , Geoffrey C. Fox
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