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The ability to accurately estimate the sample size required by a stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomized trial (CRT) routinely depends upon the specification of several nuisance parameters. If these parameters are mis-specified, the trial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-10 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

Propensity score (PS) methods are widely used to estimate treatment effects in non-randomized studies. Variance is typically estimated using sandwich or bootstrap methods, which can either treat the PS as estimated or fixed. The latter is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Baoshan Zhang , Sean M. O'Brien , Yuan Wu , Laine E. Thomas

The paper considers simultaneous nonparametric inference for a wide class of M-regression models with time-varying coefficients. The covariates and errors of the regression model are tackled as a general class of nonstationary time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Miaoshiqi Liu , Zhou Zhou

Data on rates, percentages or proportions arise frequently in many different applied disciplines like medical biology, health care, psychology and several others. In this paper, we develop a robust inference procedure for the beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Abhik Ghosh

We develop new methods for constructing confidence sets and intervals in linear instrumental variables (IV) models based on tests that remain valid under weak identification and under heteroskedastic, autocorrelated, or clustered errors. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-07 Gustavo Schlemper , Marcelo J. Moreira

In supervised learning, understanding an input's proximity to the training data can help a model decide whether it has sufficient evidence for reaching a reliable prediction. While powerful probabilistic models such as Gaussian Processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Benjamin Eysenbach , Frank Nielsen , Artur Dubrawski

We consider the problem of robust inference under the generalized linear model (GLM) with stochastic covariates. We derive the properties of the minimum density power divergence estimator of the parameters in GLM with random design and use…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Survey data often arises from complex sampling designs, such as stratified or multistage sampling, with unequal inclusion probabilities. When sampling is informative, traditional inference methods yield biased estimators and poor coverage.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Snigdha Das , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Debdeep Pati

Econometric applications with multi-way clustering often feature a small number of effective clusters or heavy-tailed data, making standard cluster-robust and bootstrap inference unreliable in finite samples. In this paper, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis , Yuhao Wang

We study a multi-factor block model for variable clustering and connect it to regularized subspace clustering through a distributionally robust version of nodewise regression. To solve the latter problem, we derive a convex relaxation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Kaizheng Wang , Xiao Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Motivated by modern applications in which one constructs graphical models based on a very large number of features, this paper introduces a new class of cluster-based graphical models, in which variable clustering is applied as an initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-09 Carson Eisenach , Florentina Bunea , Yang Ning , Claudiu Dinicu

This paper studies inference in two-stage randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization. In the initial stage of this experimental design, clusters (e.g., households, schools, or graph partitions) are stratified and randomly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Jizhou Liu

Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental task in artificial intelligence, with far-reaching implications for decision-making, predictions, and interventions. Despite significant advances, existing methods can be broadly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jincheng Zhou , Mengbo Wang , Anqi He , Yumeng Zhou , Hessam Olya , Murat Kocaoglu , Bruno Ribeiro

We construct a block bootstrap max-test for detecting the presence of significant predictors in a high dimensional setting, allowing for weakly dependent and heterogeneous (possibly non-stationary) data. The number of covariates to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Jonathan B. Hill

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

Direct sampling from a Slater determinant is combined with an autoregressive deep neural network as a Jastrow factor into a fully autoregressive Slater-Jastrow ansatz for variational quantum Monte Carlo, which allows for uncorrelated…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2023-06-22 Stephan Humeniuk , Yuan Wan , Lei Wang

This paper presents an adaptive resonance theory predictive mapping (ARTMAP) model which uses incremental cluster validity indices (iCVIs) to perform unsupervised learning, namely iCVI-ARTMAP. Incorporating iCVIs to the decision-making and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Leonardo Enzo Brito da Silva , Nagasharath Rayapati , Donald C. Wunsch

Continuous-time reinforcement learning (CTRL) provides a natural framework for sequential decision-making in dynamic environments where interactions evolve continuously over time. While CTRL has shown growing empirical success, its ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Runze Zhao , Yue Yu , Ruhan Wang , Chunfeng Huang , Dongruo Zhou

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng