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Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

A recurring problem when building probabilistic latent variable models is regularization and model selection, for instance, the choice of the dimensionality of the latent space. In the context of belief networks with latent variables, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-27 Theofanis Karaletsos , Gunnar Rätsch

This paper investigates the finite sample performance of a range of parametric, semi-parametric, and non-parametric instrumental variable estimators when controlling for a fixed set of covariates to evaluate the local average treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Hugo Bodory , Martin Huber , Michael Lechner

We study the variability of predictions made by bagged learners and random forests, and show how to estimate standard errors for these methods. Our work builds on variance estimates for bagging proposed by Efron (1992, 2012) that are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-01 Stefan Wager , Trevor Hastie , Bradley Efron

An important objective of experimental biology is the quantification of the relationship between predictor and response variables, a statistical analysis often termed variance partitioning (VP). In this paper, a series of simulations is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-27 Matthias M. Fischer

Datasets with extreme observations and/or heavy-tailed error distributions are commonly encountered and should be analyzed with careful consideration of these features from a statistical perspective. Small deviations from an assumed model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

Latent variable models (LVMs) are commonly used in psychology and increasingly used for analyzing brain imaging data. Such studies typically involve a small number of participants (n<100), where standard asymptotic results often fail to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Brice Ozenne , Patrick M. Fisher , Esben Budtz-Jørgensen

We develop joint confidence regions for linear regression coefficients when the regressors and errors are jointly stationary and ergodic with unspecified serial dependence. The method applies random smoothing, using an independent auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Mous-Abou Hamadou , Martial Longla , Mathias Nthiani Muia , Mahmud Hasan

We propose a new analysis framework for clustering $M$ items into an unknown number of $K$ distinct groups using noisy and actively collected responses. At each time step, an agent is allowed to query pairs of items and observe bandit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Rachel S. Y. Teo , P. N. Karthik , Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Determining whether an algorithmic decision-making system discriminates against a specific demographic typically involves comparing a single point estimate of a fairness metric against a predefined threshold. This practice is statistically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Antonio Ferrara , Francesco Cozzi , Alan Perotti , André Panisson , Francesco Bonchi

Variational inference in Bayesian deep learning often involves computing the gradient of an expectation that lacks a closed-form solution. In these cases, pathwise and score-function gradient estimators are the most common approaches. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Kenyon Ng , Susan Wei

This study introduces Variational Automatic Relevance Determination (VARD), a novel approach tailored for fitting sparse additive regression models in high-dimensional settings. VARD distinguishes itself by its ability to independently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Zihe Liu , Diptarka Saha , Feng Liang

We propose a procedure which combines hierarchical clustering with a test of overidentifying restrictions for selecting valid instrumental variables (IV) from a large set of IVs. Some of these IVs may be invalid in that they fail the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-19 Nicolas Apfel , Xiaoran Liang

We consider the problem of clustering functional data according to their covariance structure. We contribute a soft clustering methodology based on the Wasserstein-Procrustes distance, where the in-between cluster variability is penalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-29 V. Masarotto , G. Masarotto

We propose a new model specification test for multiple-equation systems with cross-equation error and dynamic regressor--error dependences. Conventional tests often rely on exogeneity conditions strong enough to ensure consistency of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Koichiro Moriya , Akihiko Noda

Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland

Quantile regression has been successfully used to study heterogeneous and heavy-tailed data. Varying-coefficient models are frequently used to capture changes in the effect of input variables on the response as a function of an index or…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Ran Dai , Mladen Kolar

While widely used as a general method for uncertainty quantification, the bootstrap method encounters difficulties that raise concerns about its validity in practical applications. This paper introduces a new resampling-based method, termed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Yiran Jiang , Chuanhai Liu , Heping Zhang

Datasets from field experiments with covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) usually contain extra covariates in addition to the strata indicators. We propose to incorporate these additional covariates via auxiliary regressions in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Liang Jiang , Peter C. B. Phillips , Yubo Tao , Yichong Zhang

How can we perform efficient inference and learning in directed probabilistic models, in the presence of continuous latent variables with intractable posterior distributions, and large datasets? We introduce a stochastic variational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-13 Diederik P Kingma , Max Welling