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Related papers: On an $L^2$ norm for stationary ARMA processes

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We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a linear univariate autoregressive model with sub-Gaussian innovations from a limited sequence of consecutive observations. Assuming that the parameters are compressible, we analyze…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Abbas Kazemipour , Sina Miran , Piya Pal , Behtash Babadi , Min Wu

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

The approximation of integral functionals with respect to a stationary Markov process by a Riemann-sum estimator is studied. Stationarity and the functional calculus of the infinitesimal generator of the process are used to get a better…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Randolf Altmeyer , Jakub Chorowski

Motivated by problems on Brownian motion, we introduce a recursive scheme for a basis construction in the Hilbert space L^2(0,1) which is analogous to that of Haar and Walsh. More generally, we find a new decomposition theory for the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , Anilesh Mohari

In this paper, we study the quantization errors of modulo sigma-delta modulated finite, asymptotically-infinite, infinite causal stable ARMA processes. We prove that the normalized quantization error can be taken as a uniformly distributed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Li Li , Yudong Chen

This paper investigates the predictive performance of model averaging in high-dimensional linear regression where the number of regressors is comparable to the sample size. We demonstrate that the double descent trajectory manifests within…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ke Chen , Dandan Jiang , Xinyu Zhang

With regard to a three-step estimation procedure, proposed without theoretical discussion by Li and You in Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, for a nonparametric regression model with time-varying regression function, local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jiyanglin Li , Tao Li

A new likelihood based AR approximation is given for ARMA models. The usual algorithms for the computation of the likelihood of an ARMA model require $O(n)$ flops per function evaluation. Using our new approximation, an algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-04 A. Ian McLeod , Ying Zhang

Copula-based time series models can model univariate and stationary time series in a flexible way by decomposing the joint distribution of consecutive observations into a copula and the stationary distribution. Implicitly this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sven Pappert

A l1-norm penalized orthogonal forward regression (l1-POFR) algorithm is proposed based on the concept of leaveone- out mean square error (LOOMSE). Firstly, a new l1-norm penalized cost function is defined in the constructed orthogonal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-07 Xia Hong , Sheng Chen , Yi Guo , Junbin Gao

The L2-approximation of occupation and local times of a symmetric $\alpha$-stable L{\'e}vy process from high frequency discrete time observations is studied. The standard Riemann sum estimators are shown to be asymptotically efficient when…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Randolf Altmeyer , Ronan Le Guével

We consider the rate of piecewise constant approximation to a locally stationary process $X(t),t\in [0,1]$, having a variable smoothness index $\alpha(t)$. Assuming that $\alpha(\cdot)$ attains its unique minimum at zero and satisfies the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Enkelejd Hashorva , Mikhail Lifshits , Oleg Seleznjev

This paper describes a new method for generating stationary integer-valued time series from renewal processes. We prove that if the lifetime distribution of renewal processes is nonlattice and the probability generating function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Sergiy Koshkin , Yunwei Cui

Standard tests for nonlinearity reject the null hypothesis of a Gaussian linear process whenever the data is non-stationary. Thus, they are not appropriate to distinguish nonlinearity from non-stationarity. We address the problem of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Andreas Schmitz , Thomas Schreiber

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

In this paper, instead of the usual Gaussian noise assumption, $t$-distribution noise is assumed. A Maximum Likelihood Estimator using the most recent N measurements is proposed for the Auto-Regressive-Moving-Average with eXogenous input…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Dexiang Zhou , Keck Voon Ling , Weng Khuen Ho , Jan M. Maciejowski

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

In the past four decades, research on count time series has made significant progress, but research on $\mathbb{Z}$-valued time series is relatively rare. Existing $\mathbb{Z}$-valued models are mainly of autoregressive structure, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Christian H. Weiß , Fukang Zhu

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc