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Related papers: On an $L^2$ norm for stationary ARMA processes

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We provide a novel method for large volatility matrix prediction with high-frequency data by applying eigen-decomposition to daily realized volatility matrix estimators and capturing eigenvalue dynamics with ARMA models. Given a sequence of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 Xinyu Song

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Yanping Lu

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We study statistical inferences for a class of modulated stationary processes with time-dependent variances. Due to non-stationarity and the large number of unknown parameters, existing methods for stationary, or locally stationary, time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Zhibiao Zhao , Xiaoye Li

We propose a reconstruction-based a posteriori error estimate for linear advection problems in one space dimension. In our framework, a stable variational ultra-weak formulation is adopted, and the equivalence of the $L_2$-norm of the error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-24 Alexandre Ern , Martin Vohralík , Mohammad Zakerzadeh

This paper proposes the beta binomial autoregressive moving average model (BBARMA) for modeling quantized amplitude data and bounded count data. The BBARMA model estimates the conditional mean of a beta binomial distributed variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

Interest in continuous-time processes has increased rapidly in recent years, largely because of high-frequency data available in many applications. We develop a method for estimating the kernel function $g$ of a second-order stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

In this paper, we propose a computationally valid and theoretically justified methods, the likelihood ratio scan method (LRSM), for estimating multiple change-points in a piecewise stationary generalized conditional integer-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang

In this study we show how to represent a continuous time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) as a higher order stochastic delay differential equation, which may be thought of as a continuous-time equivalent of the AR($\infty$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-12 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen , Victor Rohde

The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-20 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Stavros Dafnos

We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

A projective moving average $\{X_t, t \in \mathbb{Z}\}$ is a Bernoulli shift written as a backward martingale transform of the innovation sequence. We introduce a new class of nonlinear stochastic equations for projective moving averages,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-09 Ieva Grublytė , Donatas Surgailis

Continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-L\'evy process has periodically correlated property with many potential application in finance. In this paper, we study on the estimation of the parameters…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , M. Mohammadi

The purpose of this paper is to establish the multivariate normal convergence for the average of certain Volterra processes constructed from a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/2. Some applications to parameter estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-12 Ivan Nourdin , David Nualart , Rola Zintout

As a corollary to our main theorem we give a new proof of the result that the norm of the Hilbert transform on L^2(w) has norm bounded by a the A_2 characteristic of a weight to the first power, a theorem of one of us. This new proof begins…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Michael T. Lacey , Stefanie Petermichl , Maria Carmen Reguera

The Allan Variance (AV) is a widely used quantity in areas focusing on error measurement as well as in the general analysis of variance for autocorrelated processes in domains such as engineering and, more specifically, metrology. The form…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Haotian Xu , Stéphane Guerrier , Roberto Molinari , Yuming Zhang

A class of continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) process driven by simple semi-Levy measure is defined and its properties are studied. We discuss some new insights on the structure of the semi-Levy measure which is described…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 N. Modarresi , S. Rezakhah , S. Shoaee

In this paper we consider portmanteau tests for testing the adequacy of multiplicative seasonal autoregressive moving-average (SARMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily independent.We relax the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Abdoulkarim Ilmi Amir

We propose convenient inferential methods for potentially nonstationary multivariate unobserved components models with fractional integration and cointegration. Based on finite-order ARMA approximations in the state space representation,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-11-10 Tobias Hartl , Roland Weigand

This is a survey of some recent results on the rational circulant covariance extension problem: Given a partial sequence $(c_0,c_1,\dots,c_n)$ of covariance lags $c_k=\mathbb{E}\{y(t+k)\overline{y(t)}\}$ emanating from a stationary periodic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-18 Anders Lindquist , Giorgio Picci