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In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

In this paper we study model reduction of linear and bilinear quadratic stochastic control problems with parameter uncertainties. Specifically, we consider slow-fast systems with unknown diffusion coefficient and study the convergence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Hafida Bouanani , Carsten Hartmann , Omar Kebiri

Physical models with uncertain inputs are commonly represented as parametric partial differential equations (PDEs). That is, PDEs with inputs that are expressed as functions of parameters with an associated probability distribution.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-15 Benjamin M. Kent , Catherine E. Powell , David J. Silvester , Małgorzata J. Zimoń

We consider the modeling of the dynamics of the chemostat at its very source. The chemostat is classically represented as a system of ordinary differential equations. Our goal is to establish a stochastic model that is valid at the scale…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-07-07 Fabien Campillo , Marc Joannides , Irène Larramendy

Heterogeneity in gene expression across isogenic cell populations can give rise to phenotypic diversity, even when cells are in homogenous environments. This diversity arises from the discrete, stochastic nature of biochemical reactions,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-31 Zachary Fox , Brian Munsky

Mathematical models for complex systems are often accompanied with uncertainties. The goal of this paper is to extract a stochastic differential equation governing model with observation on stationary probability distributions. We develop a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Xiaoli Chen , Hui Wang , Jinqiao Duan

The importation and subsequent establishment of novel pathogenic strains in a population is subject to a large degree of uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the disease dynamics. Mathematical models need to take this stochasticity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-02 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Frederik Mølkjær Andersen , Samir Bhatt

A method is developed to estimate the properties of a global hydrodynamic instability in turbulent flows from measurement data of the limit-cycle oscillations. For this purpose, the flow dynamics are separated in deterministic contributions…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-21 Moritz Sieber , C. Oliver Paschereit , Kilian Oberleithner

Mathematical models describing the spatial spreading and invasion of populations of biological cells are often developed in a continuum modelling framework using reaction-diffusion equations. While continuum models based on linear diffusion…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2024-01-23 Matthew J Simpson , Keeley M Murphy , Scott W McCue , Pascal R Buenzli

The effects of demographic stochasticity in the long term behaviour of endemic infectious diseases have been considered for long as a necessary addition to an underlying deterministic theory. The latter would explain the regular behaviour…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-08-29 M. Simões , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

Assume that a stochastic processes can be approximated, when some scale parameter gets large, by a fluid limit (also called "mean field limit", or "hydrodynamic limit"). A common practice, often called the "fixed point approximation"…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Jean-Yves Le Boudec

This paper presents a discrete-event stochastic model for the redistribution of indistinguishable personal items, exemplified by socks, among multiple cohabitants sharing a communal laundry system. Drawing on concepts from ecological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-05 Syed Haseeb Shah

We present a new algorithm to optimize distributions defined implicitly by parameterized stochastic diffusions. Doing so allows us to modify the outcome distribution of sampling processes by optimizing over their parameters. We introduce a…

Although real-world complex systems typically interact through sparse and heterogeneous networks, analytic solutions of their dynamics are limited to models with all-to-all interactions. Here, we solve the dynamics of a broad range of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-28 Fernando L. Metz

We study classical stochastic systems with discrete states, coupled to switching external environments. For fast environmental processes we derive reduced dynamics for the system itself, focusing on corrections to the adiabatic limit of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Peter G. Hufton , Yen Ting Lin , Tobias Galla

This paper investigates score-based diffusion models when the underlying target distribution is concentrated on or near low-dimensional manifolds within the higher-dimensional space in which they formally reside, a common characteristic of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Gen Li , Yuling Yan

Stochasticity is a defining feature of the pairwise forces governing interactions in biological systems-from molecular motors to cell-cell adhesion-yet its consequences on large-scale dynamics remain poorly understood. Here, we show that…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-08-27 Henry Alston , Raphael Voituriez , Thibault Bertrand

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

We provide an explicit rigorous derivation of a diffusion limit - a stochastic differential equation with additive noise - from a deterministic skew-product flow. This flow is assumed to exhibit time-scale separation and has the form of a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-05-27 I. Melbourne , A. M. Stuart

The characterization of diffusion processes is a keystone in our understanding of a variety of physical phenomena. Many of these deviate from Brownian motion, giving rise to anomalous diffusion. Various theoretical models exists nowadays to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-15 Gorka Muñoz-Gil , Guillem Guigó i Corominas , Maciej Lewenstein