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We consider the problem of selecting deterministic or stochastic models for a biological, ecological, or environmental dynamical process. In most cases, one prefers either deterministic or stochastic models as candidate models based on…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-26 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

We consider particle-based stochastic reaction-drift-diffusion models where particles move via diffusion and drift induced by one- and two-body potential interactions. The dynamics of the particles are formulated as measure-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Max Heldman , Samuel A. Isaacson , Qianhan Liu , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The quasi-steady-state approximation (or stochastic averaging principle) is a useful tool in the study of multiscale stochastic systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of degrees of freedom in a model. The method is…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman , Matthew J. Smith

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

Stochastic diffusion equations are crucial for modeling a range of physical phenomena influenced by uncertainties. We introduce the generalized finite difference method for solving these equations. Then, we examine its consistency,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Faezeh Nassajian Mojarrad

Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

Mean field approximation is a popular method to study the behaviour of stochastic models composed of a large number of interacting objects. When the objects are asynchronous, the mean field approximation of a population model can be…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Nicolas Gast , Diego Latella , Mieke Massink

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

Traditional chemical kinetics may be inappropriate to describe chemical reactions in micro-domains involving only a small number of substrate and reactant molecules. Starting with the stochastic dynamics of the molecules, we derive a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 D. Holcman , Z. Schuss

There is considerable interest in developing predictive capabilities for social diffusion processes, for instance to permit early identification of emerging contentious situations, rapid detection of disease outbreaks, or accurate…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-01-01 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass

In these lecture notes, we explore the mathematical preliminaries and foundational concepts that connect stochastic processes with partial differential equations. We begin by investigating Brownian motion, which serves as a model for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Helder Rojas

What happens when a continuously evolving stochastic process is interrupted with large changes at random intervals $\tau$ distributed as a power-law $\sim \tau^{-(1+\alpha)};\alpha>0$? Modeling the stochastic process by diffusion and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-22 Apoorva Nagar , Shamik Gupta

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

Stochastic features of decay of a metastable phase have been investigated with the help of a new monodisperse approximation. This approximation is more precise than the already used one and namely it allows to give a very simple but rather…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Kurasov

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou

In the mean field integrate-and-fire model, the dynamics of a typical neuron within a large network is modeled as a diffusion-jump stochastic process whose jump takes place once the voltage reaches a threshold. In this work, the main goal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Jian-Guo Liu , Ziheng Wang , Yantong Xie , Yuan Zhang , Zhennan Zhou