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Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…

Deep Learning (DL) has shown promise for downscaling global climate change projections under different approaches, including Perfect Prognosis (PP) and Regional Climate Model (RCM) emulation. Unlike emulators, PP downscaling models are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-23 Jose González-Abad , José Manuel Gutiérrez

Data-driven emulators are increasingly being used to learn and emulate physics-based simulations, reducing computational expense and run time. Here, we present a structured way to improve the quality of these high-dimensional emulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Nawid Keshtmand , Elena Fillola , Jeffrey Nicholas Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Matthew Rigby

Climate models play a critical role in understanding and projecting climate change. Due to their complexity, their horizontal resolution of about 40-100 km remains too coarse to resolve processes such as clouds and convection, which need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Birgit Kühbacher , Fernando Iglesias-Suarez , Niki Kilbertus , Veronika Eyring

Global climate projections rely on computationally demanding Earth System Models (ESMs), which are typically limited to coarse spatial resolutions due to their high cost. To obtain high-resolution projections for regions of interest, it is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Erik Larsson , Ramon Fuentes-Franco , Mikhail Ivanov , Fredrik Lindsten

Extreme precipitation events, such as violent rainfall and hail storms, routinely ravage economies and livelihoods around the developing world. Climate change further aggravates this issue. Data-driven deep learning approaches could widen…

We present the design and scalable implementation of an exascale climate emulator for addressing the escalating computational and storage requirements of high-resolution Earth System Model simulations. We utilize the spherical harmonic…

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Traditional models of climate change use complex systems of coupled equations to simulate physical processes across the Earth system. These simulations are highly computationally expensive, limiting our predictions of climate change and…

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

Understanding seasonal climatic conditions is critical for better management of resources such as water, energy and agriculture. Recently, there has been a great interest in utilizing the power of artificial intelligence methods in climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Alper Unal , Busra Asan , Ismail Sezen , Bugra Yesilkaynak , Yusuf Aydin , Mehmet Ilicak , Gozde Unal

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Glenn Flierl , Raffaele Ferrari , Noelle E. Selin

In climate science, the tuning of climate models is a computationally intensive problem due to the combination of the high-dimensionality of the system state and long integration times. Supermodelling is a technique which has shown the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Jordan Seneca , Suzanne Bintanja , Frank M. Selten

For speech classification tasks, deep learning models often achieve high accuracy but exhibit shortcomings in calibration, manifesting as classifiers exhibiting overconfidence. The significance of calibration lies in its critical role in…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-27 Yaqian Hao , Chenguang Hu , Yingying Gao , Shilei Zhang , Junlan Feng

The accelerating pace of climate change introduces profound non-stationarities that challenge the ability of Machine Learning based climate emulators to generalize beyond their training distributions. While these emulators offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , Maria Perez-Ortiz

Our planet is facing increasingly frequent extreme events, which pose major risks to human lives and ecosystems. Recent advances in machine learning (ML), especially with foundation models (FMs) trained on extensive datasets, excel in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Jie Zhao , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Machine learning (ML) can represent processes unresolved in coarse-resolution Earth system models (ESMs) by learning from high-resolution climate data. Such ML parameterization approaches have been primarily tested in idealized setups where…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Erisa Ismaili , Robert C. Jnglin Wills , Tom Beucler

Recently, there has been a growing interest in applying machine learning methods to problems in engineering mechanics. In particular, there has been significant interest in applying deep learning techniques to predicting the mechanical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Saeed Mohammadzadeh , Peerasait Prachaseree , Emma Lejeune

To analyze climate change mitigation strategies, economists rely on simplified climate models - climate emulators. We propose a generic and transparent calibration and evaluation strategy for these climate emulators that is based on Coupled…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-10 Doris Folini , Felix Kübler , Aleksandra Malova , Simon Scheidegger

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring