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One in three women globally experiences intimate partner violence (IPV), yet little is known about how such trauma affects economic decision-making. We provide causal evidence that IPV influences women's time preferences - a key parameter…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-15 Dan Anderberg , Rachel Cassidy , Anaya Dam , Melissa Hidrobo , Jessica Leight , Karlijn Morsink

It is commonly believed that patterns of social ties affect individuals' economic status. Here, we translate this concept into an operational definition at the network level, which allows us to infer the economic wellbeing of individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-05-24 Shaojun Luo , Flaviano Morone , Carlos Sarraute , Matías Travizano , Hernán A. Makse

Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

This paper examines the drivers of CPI inflation through the lens of a simple, but computationally intensive machine learning technique. More specifically, it predicts inflation across 20 advanced countries between 2000 and 2021, relying on…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-03 Emanuel Kohlscheen

The study involved the analysis of emotion-associated language in the UK Conservative and Labour party general election manifestos between 2000 to 2019. While previous research have shown a general correlation between ideological…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Takumi Nishi

In Nigeria, electoral behavior is often interpreted through ethno-religious views and regional allegiances, without empirically assessing the influence of socioeconomic indicators such as health, income, education, and other deprivations on…

Research on the causes of political polarization points towards multiple drivers of the problem, from social and psychological to economic and technological. However, political institutions stand out, because -- while capable of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-10 Daria Boratyn , Dariusz Stolicki

Behavior of systems that are functions of anticipated behavior of other systems, whose own behavior is also anticipatory but homeostatic and determined by hierarchical ordering, which changes over time, of sets of possible environments that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-17 Leonid A. Shapiro

A potential voter must incur a number of costs in order to successfully cast an in-person ballot, including the costs associated with identifying and traveling to a polling place. In order to investigate how these costs affect voting…

Social and political polarization is a significant source of conflict and poor governance in many societies. Thus, understanding its causes has become a priority of scholars across many disciplines. Here we demonstrate that shifts in…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-05 Alexander J. Stewart , Nolan McCarty , Joanna J. Bryson

This article reviews the economics literature of, primarily, the last 20 years, that studies the link between income shocks and consumption fluctuations at the household level. We identify three broad approaches through which researchers…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-19 Edmund Crawley , Alexandros Theloudis

Previous research has shown a relationship between voter characteristics and voter support for tax bonds. These findings, however, are difficult to interpret because of the high degree of collinearity across the measures. From 13…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-05 Eric Jacobson

This paper explores various socioeconomic factors that contribute to individual financial success using machine learning algorithms and approaches. Financial success, a critical aspect of all individual's well-being, is a complex concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Michael Zhou , Ramin Ramezani

This study explores the relationship between political stability and inflation in four South Asian countries, employing panel data spanning from 2001 to 2021. To analyze this relationship, the study utilizes the dynamic ordinary least…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-13 Ummya Salma , Md. Fazlul Huq Khan

The integrity of elections is central to democratic systems. However, a myriad of malicious actors aspire to influence election outcomes for financial or political benefit. A common means to such ends is by manipulating perceptions of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Junlin Wu , Andrew Estornell , Lecheng Kong , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

In the past, the Voter Model has been explicitly used to model the impact of propaganda on a dynamic, interconnected population, and certain factors have been identified that influence the behavior of voters when under outside influence.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Renee Jerome

Examination of precinct level data in US presidential elections reveals a correlation of large precincts and increased fraction of Republican votes. The large precinct bias is analyzed with respect to voter heterogeneity and voter…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2014-11-03 Glenn Webb

The study of US-China relations has always been a crucial topic in our economic development [4][5][7], and the US presidential election plays an integral role in shaping these relations. The presidential election is held every four years,…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-25 Junjie Zhao

I study altruistic choices through the lens of a cognitively noisy decision-maker. I introduce a theoretical framework that demonstrates how increased cognitive noise can directionally affect altruistic decisions and put its implications to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-03 Niklas M. Witzig

In this article, we study the effect of vector-valued interventions in votes under a binary voter model, where each voter expresses their vote as a $0-1$ valued random variable to choose between two candidates. We assume that the outcome is…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-17 Manit Paul , Rishideep Roy , Soudeep Deb