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Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-17 Hugo Harari-Kermadec

The stochastic properties of a Langevin-type Markov process can be extracted from a given time series by a Markov analysis. Also processes that obey a stochastically forced second order differential equation can be analyzed this way by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-09 Bernd Lehle , Joachim Peinke

In this article dedicated to the memory of Igor D. Chueshov, I first summarize in a few words the joint results that we obtained over a period of six years regarding the long-time behavior of solutions to a class of semilinear stochastic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-03-06 Pierre-A Vuillermot

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

Asymptotically sharp Bernstein- and Markov-type inequalities are established for rational functions on $C^2$ smooth Jordan curves and arcs. The results are formulated in terms of the normal derivatives of certain Green's functions with…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-10-24 Sergei Kalmykov , Béla Nagy , Vilmos Totik

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

In this paper, we study moment and concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of sums of dependent random matrices. We establish novel Rosenthal-Burkholder inequalities for discrete-time matrix local martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yang Peng , Yuchen Xin , Zhihua Zhang

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

We present new concentration of measure inequalities for Markov chains, generalising results for chains that are contracting in Wasserstein distance. These are particularly suited to establishing the cut-off phenomenon for suitable chains.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

Given a strongly stationary Markov chain and a finite set of stopping rules, we prove the existence of a polynomial algorithm which projects the Markov chain onto a minimal Markov chain without redundant information. Markov complexity is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giacomo Aletti

We consider processes which are functions of finite-state Markov chains. It is well known that such processes are rarely Markov. However, such processes are often regular in the following sense: the distant past values of the process have…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Steven Berghout , Evgeny Verbitskiy

We investigate discrete-time mean-variance portfolio selection problems viewed as a Markov decision process. We transform the problems into a new model with deterministic transition function for which the Bellman optimality equation holds.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

We consider a family of Markov chains whose transition dynamics are affected by model parameters. Understanding the parametric dependence of (complex) performance measures of such Markov chains is often of significant interest. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Chang-Han Rhee , Peter Glynn

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Many finite-state reversible Markov chains can be naturally decomposed into "projection" and "restriction" chains. In this paper we provide bounds on the total variation mixing times of the original chain in terms of the mixing properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

We consider the problem of performing inference with imprecise continuous-time hidden Markov chains, that is, imprecise continuous-time Markov chains that are augmented with random output variables whose distribution depends on the hidden…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

We consider a system of seminlinear parabolic variational inequalities with time-dependent convex obstacles. We prove the existence and uniqueness of its solution. We also provide a stochastic representation of the solution and show that it…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Tomasz Klimsiak , Andrzej Rozkosz , Leszek Slominski

Our aim is to unify and extend the large deviation upper and lower bounds for the occupation times of a Markov process with $L_2$ semigroups under minimal conditions on the state space and the process trajectories; for example, no strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-24 Naresh Jain , Nicolai Krylov