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In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

The mean time taken by an irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space to hit a target chosen at random according to the stationary distribution does not depend on the initial state of the chain. This mean time is known as Kemeny's…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-13 P. J. Fitzsimmons

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

An efficient discrete time and space Markov chain approximation employing a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities for general diffusion processes was recently proposed in Liang and Borovkov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

Given a unichain Markov reward process (MRP), we provide an explicit expression for the bias values in terms of mean first passage times. This result implies a generalization of known Markov chain perturbation bounds for the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Ronald Ortner

Initially motivated by the study of the non-asymptotic properties of non-parametric tests based on permutation methods, concentration inequalities for uniformly permuted sums have been largely studied in the literature. Recently, Delyon et…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Mélisande Albert

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

In this paper we are looking for quantitative estimates for the convergene to equilibrium of non reversible Markov processes, especialy in short times. The models studied are simple enough to get an explicit expression of the L2 distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Pierre Monmarché , Laurent Miclo

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

The analysis of many problems of interest associated with Markov chains, e.g. stationary distributions, moments of first passage time distributions and moments of occupation time random variables, involves the solution of a system of linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-29 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We prove Bernstein-type matrix concentration inequalities for linear combinations with matrix coefficients of binary random variables satisfying certain $\ell_\infty$-independence assumptions, complementing recent results by Kaufman, Kyng…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Radosław Adamczak , Ioannis Kavvadias

Functional inequalities such as the Poincar\'e and log-Sobolev inequalities quantify convergence to equilibrium in continuous-time Markov chains by linking generator properties to variance and entropy decay. However, many applications,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Bastian Hilder , Patrick van Meurs , Upanshu Sharma

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

The purpose of this paper is to extend the investigation of Poisson-type deviation inequalities started by Joulin (Bernoulli 13 (2007) 782--798) to the empirical mean of positively curved Markov jump processes. In particular, our main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 Aldéric Joulin

Let $V$ be a symmetric convex body in $\R^m$. We prove sharp Bernstein-type inequalities for entire functions of exponential type with the spectrum in $V$ and discuss certain properties of the extremal functions. Markov-type inequalities…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-12-26 Michael I. Ganzburg

We show an invariance principle for rescaled clocks of positive semi-stable Markov processes, proving a conjecture presented in Remark 4 in Demni, Rouault, Zani [11], 2015.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Maria-Emilia Caballero , Alain Rouault

In the spectral Petrov-Galerkin methods, the trial and test functions are required to satisfy particular boundary conditions. By a suitable linear combination of orthogonal polynomials, a basis, that is called the modal basis, is obtained.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Mostafa Jani , Esmail Babolian , Shahnam Javadi

We develop an approach to time-consistent risk evaluation of continuous-time processes in Markov systems. Our analysis is based on dual representation of coherent risk measures, differentiability concepts for multivalued mappings, and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward
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