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We consider distributed learning using constant stepsize SGD (DSGD) over several devices, each sending a final model update to a central server. In a final step, the local estimates are aggregated. We prove in the setting of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Mike Nguyen , Charly Kirst , Nicole Mücke

Agent-Based Model (ABM) validation is crucial as it helps ensuring the reliability of simulations, and causal discovery has become a powerful tool in this context. However, current causal discovery methods often face accuracy and robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Gene Yu , Ce Guo , Wayne Luk

We prove theorems about the Gaussian asymptotics of an empirical bridge built from linear model regressors with multiple regressor ordering. We study the testing of the hypothesis of a linear model for the components of a random vector: one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

Selective Classification, wherein models can reject low-confidence predictions, promises reliable translation of machine-learning based classification systems to real-world scenarios such as clinical diagnostics. While current evaluation of…

Kernel ridge regression, KRR, is a generalization of linear ridge regression that is non-linear in the data, but linear in the model parameters. Here, we introduce an equivalent formulation of the objective function of KRR, which opens up…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-10 Oskar Allerbo

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Distributional reinforcement learning (RL) -- in which agents learn about all the possible long-term consequences of their actions, and not just the expected value -- is of great recent interest. One of the most important affordances of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Chris Gagne , Peter Dayan

We propose a novel approach for domain generalisation (DG) leveraging risk distributions to characterise domains, thereby achieving domain invariance. In our findings, risk distributions effectively highlight differences between training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Toan Nguyen , Kien Do , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

This article carries out a large dimensional analysis of standard regularized discriminant analysis classifiers designed on the assumption that data arise from a Gaussian mixture model with different means and covariances. The analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-19 Khalil Elkhalil , Abla Kammoun , Romain Couillet , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Mohamed-Slim Alouini

The sample covariance matrix is a cornerstone of multivariate statistics, but it is highly sensitive to outliers. These can be casewise outliers, such as cases belonging to a different population, or cellwise outliers, which are deviating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Fabio Centofanti , Mia Hubert , Peter J. Rousseeuw

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

Randomized smoothing has shown promising certified robustness against adversaries in classification tasks. Despite such success with only zeroth-order access to base models, randomized smoothing has not been extended to a general form of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Aref Miri Rekavandi , Olga Ohrimenko , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

When assessing risks on a finite-time horizon, the problem can often be reduced to the study of a random sequence $C(N)=(C_1,\ldots,C_N)$ of random length $N$, where $C(N)$ comes from the product of a matrix $A(N)$ of random size $N \times…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Charles Tillier , Olivier Wintenberger

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

The use of cumulative incidence functions for characterizing the risk of one type of event in the presence of others has become increasingly popular over the past decade. The problems of modeling, estimation and inference have been treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-16 Youngjoo Cho , Annette M. Molinaro , Chen Hu , Robert L. Strawderman

Score-based generative modeling, informally referred to as diffusion models, continue to grow in popularity across several important domains and tasks. While they provide high-quality and diverse samples from empirical distributions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Matthew Tivnan , J. Webster Stayman , Jeremias Sulam

In this article, we rigorously establish the consistency of generalized cross-validation as a parameter-choice rule for solving inverse problems. We prove that the index chosen by leave-one-out GCV achieves a non-asymptotic, order-optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Tim Jahn , Mikhail Kirilin

We consider standard gradient descent, gradient flow and conjugate gradients as iterative algorithms for minimising a penalised ridge criterion in linear regression. While it is well known that conjugate gradients exhibit fast numerical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Laura Hucker , Markus Reiß , Thomas Stark

In this study, we propose shrinkage methods based on {\it generalized ridge regression} (GRR) estimation which is suitable for both multicollinearity and high dimensional problems with small number of samples (large $p$, small $n$). Also,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Bahadır Yüzbaşı , Mohammad Arashi , S. Ejaz Ahmed

As opaque predictive models increasingly impact many areas of modern life, interest in quantifying the importance of a given input variable for making a specific prediction has grown. Recently, there has been a proliferation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-20 Yue Gao , Abby Stevens , Rebecca Willet , Garvesh Raskutti
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