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Neural weather models have shown immense potential as inexpensive and accurate alternatives to physics-based models. However, most models trained to perform weather forecasting do not quantify the uncertainty associated with their…

This paper demonstrates the application of Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks to Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) inverse problems. We consider the case of estimating an unknown chaotic dynamical system transition model from state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

Hail risk assessment is necessary to estimate and reduce damage to crops, orchards, and infrastructure. Also, it helps to estimate and reduce consequent losses for businesses and, particularly, insurance companies. But hail forecasting is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-05 Ivan Lukyanenko , Mikhail Mozikov , Yury Maximov , Ilya Makarov

Machine learning has made important headway in helping to improve the treatment of quantum many-body systems. A domain of particular relevance are correlated inhomogeneous systems. What has been missing so far is a general, scalable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-10 Alex Blania , Sandro Herbig , Fabian Dechent , Evert van Nieuwenburg , Florian Marquardt

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

The astounding success of these methods has made it imperative to obtain more explainable and trustworthy estimates from these models. In hydrology, basin characteristics can be noisy or missing, impacting streamflow prediction. For solving…

Neural operators are promising surrogates for dynamical systems but when trained with standard L2 losses they tend to oversmooth fine-scale turbulent structures. Here, we show that combining operator learning with generative modeling…

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

In this paper, we present a machine learning-based data generator framework tailored to aid researchers who utilize simulations to examine various physical systems or processes. High computational costs and the resulting limited data often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Sabber Ahamed , Md Mesbah Uddin

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

This work introduces a new framework integrating port-Hamiltonian systems (PHS) and neural network architectures. This framework bridges the gap between deterministic and stochastic modeling of complex dynamical systems. We introduce new…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-09-09 Luca Di Persio , Matthias Ehrhardt , Youness Outaleb , Sofia Rizzotto

We present the Physics-Informed Long Short-Term Memory (PI-LSTM) network to reconstruct and predict the evolution of unmeasured variables in a chaotic system. The training is constrained by a regularization term, which penalizes solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Elise Özalp , Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

Accurate prediction of extreme weather events remains a major challenge for artificial intelligence-based weather prediction systems. While deterministic models such as FuXi, GraphCast, and SFNO have achieved competitive forecast skill…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-01 Rodrigo Almeida , Noelia Otero , Miguel-Ángel Fernández-Torres , Jackie Ma

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Neural networks are a promising technique for parameterizing sub-grid-scale physics (e.g. moist atmospheric convection) in coarse-resolution climate models, but their lack of interpretability and reliability prevents widespread adoption.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-30 Noah D. Brenowitz , Tom Beucler , Michael Pritchard , Christopher S. Bretherton

Many real-world systems are characterized by stochastic dynamical rules where a complex network of interactions among individual elements probabilistically determines their state. Even with full knowledge of the network structure and of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-15 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

We have developed a new framework using time-series analysis for dynamically assigning mobile network traffic prediction models in previously unseen wireless environments. Our framework selectively employs learned behaviors, outperforming…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alexander Downey , Evren Tuna , Alkan Soysal

Recently, computational modeling has shifted towards the use of deep learning, and other data-driven modeling frameworks. Although this shift in modeling holds promise in many applications like design optimization and real-time control by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-10-11 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Prakash Vedula , Adil Rasheed , Trond Kvamsdal