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Handling regime shifts and non-stationary time series in deep learning systems presents a significant challenge. In the case of online learning, when new information is introduced, it can disrupt previously stored data and alter the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

The complexity of real-world geophysical systems is often compounded by the fact that the observed measurements depend on hidden variables. These latent variables include unresolved small scales and/or rapidly evolving processes, partially…

Computational fluid dynamics models based on Reynolds-averaged Navier--Stokes equations with turbulence closures still play important roles in engineering design and analysis. However, the development of turbulence models has been stagnant…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-04 Heng Xiao , Jin-Long Wu , Sylvain Laizet , Lian Duan

Data assimilation is a central problem in many geophysical applications, such as weather forecasting. It aims to estimate the state of a potentially large system, such as the atmosphere, from sparse observations, supplemented by prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Matthieu Blanke , Ronan Fablet , Marc Lelarge

Uncertainty propagation in high-dimensional nonlinear dynamic structural systems is pivotal in state-of-the-art performance-based design and risk assessment, where uncertainties from both excitations and structures, i.e., the aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Manisha Sapkota , Min Li , Bowei Li

Projection-based model reduction has become a popular approach to reduce the cost associated with integrating large-scale dynamical systems so they can be used in many-query settings such as optimization and uncertainty quantification. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Han Gao , Jian-Xun Wang , Matthew J. Zahr

Conventional fluid simulations can be time consuming and energy intensive. We researched the viability of a neural network for simulating incompressible fluids in a randomized obstacle-heavy environment, as an alternative to the numerical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-28 Rui Hespanha , Elliot McGuire , João Hespanha

Spatiotemporal chaotic systems are difficult to characterize in a model-free manner because of their high dimensionality, strong nonlinearity, and sensitivity to initial conditions. Coupled map lattices, as a representative class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Xiaoqi Lei , Zixiang Yan , Jian Gao , Yueheng Lan , Jinghua Xiao

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…

Machine learning-based weather forecasting models now surpass state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction systems, but training and operating these models at high spatial resolution remains computationally expensive. We present a modular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aymeric Delefosse , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Yanna Ding , Zijie Huang , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

While the popularity of physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) is steadily rising, to this date PINNs have not been successful in simulating dynamical systems whose solution exhibits multi-scale, chaotic or turbulent behavior. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Sifan Wang , Shyam Sankaran , Paris Perdikaris

Accurate characterization of subsurface heterogeneity is challenging but essential for applications such as reservoir pressure management, geothermal energy extraction and CO$_2$, H$_2$, and wastewater injection operations. This challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Harun Ur Rashid , Mingxin Li , Aleksandra Pachalieva , Georg Stadler , Daniel O'Malley

Two recent papers on prediction of chaotic systems, one on multi-view embedding1 , and the second on prediction in projection2 provide empirical evidence to support particular prediction methods for chaotic systems. Multi-view embedding1 is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-14 M. LuValle

We predict the emergence of extreme events in a parametrically driven nonlinear dynamical system using three Deep Learning models, namely Multi-Layer Perceptron, Convolutional Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory. The Deep Learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 J. Meiyazhagan , S. Sudharsan , M. Senthilvelan

Deep learning offers promising new ways to accurately model aleatoric uncertainty in robotic state estimation systems, particularly when the uncertainty distributions do not conform to traditional assumptions of being fixed and Gaussian. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Aastha Acharya , Caleb Lee , Marissa D'Alonzo , Jared Shamwell , Nisar R. Ahmed , Rebecca Russell

Machine Learning has become a pervasive tool in climate science applications. However, current models fail to address nonstationarity induced by anthropogenic alterations in greenhouse emissions and do not routinely quantify the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Simon Dräger , Maike Sonnewald

Atmospheric flows exhibit long-range spatiotemporal correlations manifested as the fractal geometry to the global cloud cover pattern concomitant with inverse power-law form for power spectra of temporal fluctuations of all scales ranging…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. M. Selvam , S. Fadnavis

Deep generative frameworks including GANs and normalizing flow models have proven successful at filling in missing values in partially observed data samples by effectively learning -- either explicitly or implicitly -- complex,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Edgar A. Bernal