Related papers: Efficient and accurate simulation of the stochasti…
We present adaptive sequential SAA (sample average approximation) algorithms to solve large-scale two-stage stochastic linear programs. The iterative algorithm framework we propose is organized into \emph{outer} and \emph{inner} iterations…
Calibrating Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is an important optimization problem for simulating the complex social systems, where the goal is to identify the optimal parameter of a given ABM by minimizing the discrepancy between the simulated…
We develop a Bayesian inference method for discretely-observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Inference is challenging for most SDEs, due to the analytical intractability of the likelihood function. Nevertheless, forward…
The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model significantly outperforms the Black-Scholes (BS) model in forecasting both prices and options. Furthermore, the CEV model has a marked advantage in capturing basic empirical regularities such…
The Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problem models probabilistic sequential-decision problems where an agent must pursue a goal while minimizing a cost function. Because of the probabilistic dynamics, it is desired to have a cost function…
Cubic regularization (CR) is an optimization method with emerging popularity due to its capability to escape saddle points and converge to second-order stationary solutions for nonconvex optimization. However, CR encounters a high sample…
Regularized empirical risk minimization (rERM) has become important in data-intensive fields such as genomics and advertising, with stochastic gradient methods typically used to solve the largest problems. However, ill-conditioned…
Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are two risk measures which are widely used in the practice of risk management. This paper deals with the problem of computing both VaR and CVaR using stochastic approximation (with…
Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…
The Heston stochastic-local volatility model, consisting of a asset price process and a Cox--Ingersoll--Ross-type variance process, offers a wide range of applications in the financial industry. The pursuit for efficient model evaluation…
To ensure a successful bid while maximizing of profits, generation companies (GENCOs) need a self-scheduling strategy that can cope with a variety of scenarios. So distributionally robust opti-mization (DRO) is a good choice because that it…
We derive analytic formulae which link $\alpha$, $\nu$ and $\rho$ parameters in Andreasen-Huge style SABR model to the ATM price and option prices at four strikes close to ATM. Based on these formulae we give a characterisation for the SABR…
Following-up Fukasawa and Gatheral (Frontiers of Mathematical Finance, 2022), we prove that the BBF formula, the SABR formula, and the rough SABR formula provide asymptotically arbitrage-free approximations of the implied volatility under,…
In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…
Efficient sampling for the conditional time integrated variance process in the Heston stochastic volatility model is key to the simulation of the stock price based on its exact distribution. We construct a new series expansion for this…
We propose dynamic sampled stochastic approximation (SA) methods for stochastic optimization with a heavy-tailed distribution (with finite 2nd moment). The objective is the sum of a smooth convex function with a convex regularizer.…
This study introduces a SABR-informed multitask Gaussian process for constructing implied volatility surfaces from sparse option quotes. We treat a dense synthetic dataset generated by a calibrated SABR model as the source task and market…
We analyse a Monte Carlo particle method for the simulation of the calibrated Heston-type local stochastic volatility (H-LSV) model. The common application of a kernel estimator for a conditional expectation in the calibration condition…
This paper presents a robust version of the stratified sampling method when multiple uncertain input models are considered for stochastic simulation. Various variance reduction techniques have demonstrated their superior performance in…
This paper presents a new method to compute VaR (value at risk) and perform corresponding variance based sensitivity analysis. VaR has a long history of being applied in stock price prediction and investment portfolio analysis. Traditional…