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A possibly time-dependent transition intensity matrix or generator $(Q(t))$ characterizes the law of a Markov jump process (MP). For a time homogeneous MP, the transition probability matrix (TPM) can be expressed as a matrix exponential of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Dario Gasbarra , Sangita Kulathinal , Etienne Sebag

Considering two independent Poisson processes, we address the question of testing equality of their respective intensities. We first propose single tests whose test statistics are U-statistics based on general kernel functions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Magalie Fromont , Béatrice Laurent , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

We generalize the classic change-point problem to a "change-set" framework: a spatial Poisson process changes its intensity on an unobservable random set. Optimal detection of the set is defined by maximizing the expected value of a gain…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 B. Gail Ivanoff , Ely Merzbach

We propose a novel continuous testing framework to test the intensities of Poisson Processes. This framework allows a rigorous definition of the complete testing procedure, from an infinite number of hypothesis to joint error rates. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Franck Picard , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Etienne Roquain

These short lecture notes contain a not too technical introduction to point processes on the time line. The focus lies on defining these processes using the conditional intensity function. Furthermore, likelihood inference, methods of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-04 Jakob Gulddahl Rasmussen

Given an n-dimensional stochastic process X driven by P-Brownian motions and Poisson random measures, we seek the probability measure Q, with minimal relative entropy to P, such that the Q-expectations of some terminal and running costs are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Sebastian Jaimungal , Silvana M. Pesenti , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We study quantitative recurrence to rare events in Countable Markov Shifts with recurrent potentials, focusing on return-time statistics to natural target sets for every point. In the positive recurrent case, return-time processes…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

We study conditional independence under infinite measures on punctured product spaces, a notion recently introduced for graphical modeling in multivariate extremes and L\'evy processes. In contrast to classical probabilistic conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Shuyang Bai , Vishal Routh

We consider a one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) on $[0,1]$ with resetting at $0$ and depending on a small parameter $\varepsilon>0$. In the singular vanishing limit $\varepsilon \to 0$ we prove that the ``…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Cédric Bernardin , Vsevolod Vladimirovich Tarsamaev

We study weak convergence of a sequence of point processes to a scale-invariant simple point process. For a deterministic sequence $(z_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ of positive real numbers increasing to infinity as $n \to \infty$ and a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Ilya Molchanov

We study a stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson point process, which models continuous changes in a population's environment, as well as the stochastic fixation of beneficial mutations that might compensate for this change.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Elma Nassar , Etienne Pardoux

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

In this paper we consider change-points in multiple sequences with the objective of minimizing the estimation error of a sequence by making use of information from other sequences. This is in contrast to recent interest on change-points in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Hock Peng Chan

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

A semi-process is an analog of the semi-flow for non-autonomous differential equations or inclusions. We prove an abstract result on the existence of measurable semi-processes in the situations where there is no uniqueness. Also, we allow…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Jorge E. Cardona , Lev Kapitanski

We present a perfect simulation algorithm for measures that are absolutely continuous with respect to some Poisson process and can be obtained as invariant measures of birth-and-death processes. Examples include area- and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy Garcia

We study the binary classification problem for Poisson point processes, which are allowed to take values in a general metric space. The problem is tackled in two different ways: estimating nonparametricaly the intensity functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Liliana Forzani , Pamela Llop , Leonardo Moreno

This paper deals with the intersection point process of a stationary and isotropic Poisson hyperplane process in $\mathbb{R}^d$ of intensity $t>0$, where only hyperplanes that intersect a centred ball of radius $R>0$ are considered. Taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-14 Anastas Baci , Gilles Bonnet , Christoph Thäle

In this paper we study the existence of Green measures for Markov processes with a nonlocal jump generator. The jump generator has no second moment and satisfies a suitable condition on its Fourier transform. We also study the same problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Yuri Kondratiev , José Luís da Silva

This article develops an analytical framework for studying information divergences and likelihood ratios associated with Poisson processes and point patterns on general measurable spaces. The main results include explicit analytical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Lasse Leskelä
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