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Determinantal and permanental processes are point processes with a correlation function given by a determinant or a permanent. Their atoms exhibit mutual attraction of repulsion, thus these processes are very far from the uncorrelated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-19 Isabelle Camilier , Laurent Decreusefond

We are interested in estimating the location of what we call "smooth change-point" from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-17 A. Amiri , S Dachian

Pathwise predictability of continuous time processes is studied in deterministic setting. We discuss uniform prediction in some weak sense with respect to certain classes of inputs. More precisely, we study possibility of approximation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Nikolai Dokuchaev

In this note we consider non-stationary cluster point processes and we derive their conditional intensity, i.e. the intensity of the process given the locations of one or more events of the process. We then provide some approximations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Edith Gabriel , Joël Chadoeuf

This work is concerned with the estimation of the intensity parameter of a stationary determinantal point process. We consider the standard estimator, corresponding to the number of observed points per unit volume and a recently introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio

Fix a subset $S \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ of volume at most $c n$ that satisfies $S \cap (-S) = \emptyset$. We consider two point processes in $S$: the first is the Poisson point process of intensity one, and the second is the restriction of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Boaz Klartag

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

We observe $n$ inhomogeneous Poisson processes with covariates and aim at estimating their intensities. We assume that the intensity of each Poisson process is of the form $s (\cdot, x)$ where $x$ is the covariate and where $s$ is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Mathieu Sart

We establish the general equivalence between rare event process for arbitrary continuous functions whose maximal values are achieved on non-trivial sets, and the entry times distribution for arbitrary measure zero sets. We then use it to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Fan Yang

In this work, based on a realization of an inhomogeneous Poisson process whose intensity function depends on a real unknown parameter, we consider a simple hypothesis against a sequence of close (contiguous) alternatives. Under certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-02 Khosrow Fazli

Poisson restart assumes that a stochastic process is interrupted and starts again at random time moments. A number of studies have demonstrated that this strategy may minimize the expected completion time in some classes of random search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-15 Sergey Belan

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

This paper proposes a model of interactions between two point processes, ruled by a reproduction function h, which is considered as the intensity of a Poisson process. In particular, we focus on the context of neurosciences to detect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-07 Laure Sansonnet , Christine Tuleau-Malot

We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

In this article, we study the dynamics of a nonlinear system governed by an ordinary differential equation under the combined influence of fast periodic sampling with period $\delta$ and small jump noise of size $\varepsilon, 0<…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Shivam Singh Dhama

A simple explicit construction is provided of a partition-valued fragmentation process whose distribution on partitions of $[n]=\{1,...,n\}$ at time $\theta \ge 0$ is governed by the Ewens sampling formula with parameter $\theta$. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Gnedin , Jim Pitman

The variational principle for Gibbs point processes with general finite range interaction is proved. Namely, the Gibbs point processes are identified as the minimizers of the free excess energy equals to the sum of the specific entropy and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 David Dereudre

We consider the problem of parameter estimation by observations of inhomogeneous Poisson process. It is well-known that if the regularity conditions are fulfilled then the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators are consistent,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Yury A. Kutoyants

Although introduced in the case of Poisson random measures, the lent particle method applies as well in other situations. We study here the case of marked point processes. In this case the Malliavin calculus (here in the sense of Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Nicolas Bouleau

We propose in this work an original estimator of the conditional intensity of a marker-dependent counting process, that is, a counting process with covariates. We use model selection methods and provide a non asymptotic bound for the risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-24 F. Comte , S. Gaïffas , A. Guilloux