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This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

Inference for functional linear models in the presence of heteroscedastic errors has received insufficient attention given its practical importance; in fact, even a central limit theorem has not been studied in this case. At issue,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Hyemin Yeon , Xiongtao Dai , Daniel John Nordman

Objective: Sparse Bayesian learning provides an effective scheme to solve the high-dimensional problem in brain signal decoding. However, traditional assumptions regarding data distributions such as Gaussian and binomial are potentially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-19 Yuanhao Li , Badong Chen , Wenjun Bai , Yasuharu Koike , Okito Yamashita

This paper proposes a new randomized strategy for adaptive MCMC using Bayesian optimization. This approach applies to non-differentiable objective functions and trades off exploration and exploitation to reduce the number of potentially…

Computation · Statistics 2011-11-01 Nimalan Mahendran , Ziyu Wang , Firas Hamze , Nando de Freitas

Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) has been widely used in synthesizing information across subgroups. Identifying heterogeneity in the data and determining proper strength of borrow have long been central goals pursued by researchers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Xuetao Lu , J. Jack Lee

Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

Minimum Bayes risk (MBR) decoding outputs the hypothesis with the highest expected utility over the model distribution for some utility function. It has been shown to improve accuracy over beam search in conditional language generation…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Julius Cheng , Andreas Vlachos

Industrial image anomaly detection is a challenging problem owing to extreme class imbalance and the scarcity of labeled defective samples, particularly in few-shot settings. We propose BayPrAnoMeta, a Bayesian generalization of Proto-MAML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Soham Sarkar , Tanmay Sen , Sayantan Banerjee

Unlike the ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimator for the linear model, a ridge regression linear model provides coefficient estimates via shrinkage, usually with improved mean-square and prediction error. This is true especially when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-25 George Karabatsos

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

Intuitive human-machine interfaces may be developed using pattern classification to estimate executed human motions from electromyogram (EMG) signals generated during muscle contraction. The continual use of EMG-based interfaces gradually…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-03 Seitaro Yoneda , Akira Furui

In this paper, Bayesian quickest change detection problems with sampling right constraints are considered. Specifically, there is a sequence of random variables whose probability density function will change at an unknown time. The goal is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-16 Jun Geng , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

It is often of interest to estimate regression functions non-parametrically. Penalized regression (PR) is one statistically-effective, well-studied solution to this problem. Unfortunately, in many cases, finding exact solutions to PR…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Brayan Ortiz , Noah Simon

The problem of statistical calibration of a measuring instrument can be framed both in a statistical context as well as in an engineering context. In the first, the problem is dealt with by distinguishing between the 'classical' approach…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-15 Derick L. Rivers , Edward L. Boone

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled approach for assessing the relative merits of competing computational models and propagating uncertainty into model selection decisions. However, BMC is often intractable for the popular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-27 Lasse Elsemüller , Martin Schnuerch , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Borrowing of information from historical or external data to inform inference in a current trial is an expanding field in the era of precision medicine, where trials are often performed in small patient cohorts for practical or ethical…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-27 Annette Kopp-Schneider , Manuel Wiesenfarth , Leonhard Held , Silvia Calderazzo

This work proposes a Bayesian rule based on the mixture of a point mass function at zero and the logistic distribution to perform wavelet shrinkage in nonparametric regression models with stationary errors (with short or long-memory…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-24 Alex Rodrigo dos S. Sousa , Mauricio Zevallos