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The intention of this paper is to estimate a Bayesian distribution-free chain ladder (DFCL) model using approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methodology. We demonstrate how to estimate quantities of interest in claims reserving and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-16 Gareth W. Peters , Mario V. Wüthrich , Pavel V. Shevchenko

We extend the work of Hahn and Carvalho (2015) and develop a doubly-regularized sparse regression estimator by synthesizing Bayesian regularization with penalized least squares within a decision-theoretic framework. In contrast to existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Aihua Li , Surya T. Tokdar , Jason Xu

We develop a method for reconstructing regulatory interconnection networks between variables evolving according to a linear dynamical system. The work is motivated by the problem of gene regulatory network inference, that is, finding causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-19 Atte Aalto , Jorge Goncalves

Estimating the mixing density of a latent mixture model is an important task in signal processing. Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is one popular approach to this problem. If the latent variable distribution is assumed to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Shijie Wang , Minsuk Shin , Ray Bai

Motivated by the goal of improving the efficiency of small sample design, we propose a novel Bayesian stochastic approximation method to estimate the root of a regression function. The method features adaptive local modelling and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-08 Jin Xu , Cui Xiong , Rongji Mu

In this article, we propose a novel pessimism-based Bayesian learning method for optimal dynamic treatment regimes in the offline setting. When the coverage condition does not hold, which is common for offline data, the existing solutions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-23 Yunzhe Zhou , Zhengling Qi , Chengchun Shi , Lexin Li

Sparse Bayesian Learning is one of the most popular sparse signal recovery methods, and various algorithms exist under the SBL paradigm. However, given a performance metric and a sparse recovery problem, it is difficult to know a-priori the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Rushabha Balaji , Kuan-Lin Chen , Danijela Cabric , Bhaskar D. Rao

The impracticality of posterior sampling has prevented the widespread adoption of spike-and-slab priors in high-dimensional applications. To alleviate the computational burden, optimization strategies have been proposed that quickly find…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Lizhen Nie , Veronika Ročková

Consider a situation of analyzing high-dimensional count data containing an excess of near-zero counts with a small number of moderate or large counts. Assuming that the observations are modeled by a Poisson distribution, we are interested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Sayantan Paul , Arijit Chakrabarti

We propose a Bayesian variable selection method in the framework of modal regression for heavy-tailed responses. An efficient expectation-maximization algorithm is employed to expedite parameter estimation. A test statistic is constructed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jiasong Duan , Hongmei Zhang , Xianzheng Huang

If the conclusion of a data analysis is sensitive to dropping very few data points, that conclusion might hinge on the particular data at hand rather than representing a more broadly applicable truth. How could we check whether this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Tin D. Nguyen , Ryan Giordano , Rachael Meager , Tamara Broderick

Finite-sample bias is a pervasive challenge in the estimation of structural equation models (SEMs), especially when sample sizes are small or measurement reliability is low. A range of methods have been proposed to improve finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Haziq Jamil , Yves Rosseel , Oliver Kemp , Ioannis Kosmidis

Diffusion models (DMs) as generative priors have recently shown great potential for denoising tasks but lack theoretical understanding with respect to their mean square error (MSE) optimality. This paper proposes a novel denoising strategy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Benedikt Fesl , Benedikt Böck , Florian Strasser , Michael Baur , Michael Joham , Wolfgang Utschick

Randomized controlled clinical trials provide the gold standard for evidence generation in relation to the efficacy of a new treatment in medical research. Relevant information from previous studies may be desirable to incorporate in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Lou E. Whitehead , James M. S. Wason , Oliver Sailer , Haiyan Zheng

We introduce a new empirical Bayes approach for large-scale multiple linear regression. Our approach combines two key ideas: (i) the use of flexible "adaptive shrinkage" priors, which approximate the nonparametric family of scale mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Youngseok Kim , Wei Wang , Peter Carbonetto , Matthew Stephens

In this paper we address the problem of performing statistical inference for large scale data sets i.e., Big Data. The volume and dimensionality of the data may be so high that it cannot be processed or stored in a single computing node. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-20 Shahab Basiri , Esa Ollila , Visa Koivunen

Bayesian inference in deep neural networks is challenging due to the high-dimensional, strongly multi-modal parameter posterior density landscape. Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches asymptotically recover the true posterior but are…

Bayesian inference promises to ground and improve the performance of deep neural networks. It promises to be robust to overfitting, to simplify the training procedure and the space of hyperparameters, and to provide a calibrated measure of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Jonathan Heek , Nal Kalchbrenner

The paper presents a Bayesian framework for the calibration of financial models using neural stochastic differential equations (neural SDEs), for which we also formulate a global universal approximation theorem based on Barron-type…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Christa Cuchiero , Eva Flonner , Kevin Kurt

We propose a novel Bayesian model selection technique on linear mixed-effects models to compare multiple treatments with a control. A fully Bayesian approach is implemented to estimate the marginal inclusion probabilities that provide a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-28 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal , Stephen R. Spindler , Patricia L. Mote
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