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We consider $M/Ph/n+M$ queueing systems in steady state. We prove that the Wasserstein distance between the stationary distribution of the normalized system size process and that of a piecewise Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process is bounded by…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Anton Braverman , J. G. Dai

Most metrics between finite point measures currently used in the literature have the flaw that they do not treat differing total masses in an adequate manner for applications. This paper introduces a new metric $\bar{d}_1$ that combines…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Dominic Schuhmacher , Aihua Xia

Gaussian Process regression is a kernel method successfully adopted in many real-life applications. Recently, there is a growing interest on extending this method to non-Euclidean input spaces, like the one considered in this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Antonio Candelieri , Andrea Ponti , Francesco Archetti

We prove a bound for the Wasserstein distance between vectors of smooth complex random variables and complex Gaussians in the framework of complex Markov diffusion generators. For the special case of chaotic eigenfunctions, this bound can…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Simon Campese

In this paper we propose tight upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance between any two {{univariate continuous distributions}} with probability densities $p_1$ and $p_2$ having nested supports. These explicit bounds are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Christophe Ley , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

Gaussian processes are powerful non-parametric probabilistic models for stochastic functions. However, the direct implementation entails a complexity that is computationally intractable when the number of observations is large, especially…

We develop a general framework for statistical inference with the 1-Wasserstein distance. Recently, the Wasserstein distance has attracted considerable attention and has been widely applied to various machine learning tasks because of its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Masaaki Imaizumi , Hirofumi Ota , Takuo Hamaguchi

We establish the convergence of the densities of a sequence of nonlinear functionals of an underlying Gaussian process to the density of a Gamma distribution. The key idea of our work is a new density formula for random variables in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Solesne Bourguin , Thanh Dang , Yaozhong Hu

The Hawkes process is a widely used model in many areas, such as finance, seismology, neuroscience, epidemiology, and social sciences. Estimation of the Hawkes process from continuous observations of a sample path is relatively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-23 Feng Chen , Jeffrey Kwan , Tom Stindl

Stacking Gaussian Processes severely diminishes the model's ability to detect outliers, which when combined with non-zero mean functions, further extrapolates low non-parametric variance to low training data density regions. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-02 Sebastian Popescu , David Sharp , James Cole , Ben Glocker

Motivated by a theorem of Barbour, we revisit some of the classical limit theorems in probability from the viewpoint of the Stein method. We setup the framework to bound Wasserstein distances between some distributions on infinite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Laure Coutin , Laurent Decreusefond

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

Let $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $ be a supercritical branching process in an independent and identically distributed random environment. We establish an optimal convergence rate in the Wasserstein-$1$ distance for the process $ (Z_{n})_{n\geq 0} $,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Hao Wu , Xiequan Fan , Zhiqiang Gao , Yinna Ye

We present a new perspective of assessing the rates of convergence to the Gaussian and Poisson distributions in the Erd\"os-Kac theorem for additive arithmetic functions $\psi$ of a random integer $J_n$ uniformly distributed over…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Louis H. Y. Chen , Arturo Jaramillo , Xiaochuan Yang

This paper provides and extends second-order versions of several fundamental theorems on first-order regularly varying functions such as Karamata's theorem/representation and Tauberian's theorem. Our results are used to establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We establish Poisson and compound Poisson approximations for stabilizing statistics of $\beta$-mixing point processes and give explicit rates of convergence. Our findings are based on a general estimate of the total variation distance of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-24 Nicolas Chenavier , Moritz Otto

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the limiting variance of asymptotically stationary Gaussian processes observed at high frequency, using the second moment estimator (SME). We study rates of convergence of the central limit theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Yong Chen

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of weighted U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti
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