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Recent pandemics have highlighted the critical role of infectious disease models in guiding public health decision-making, driving demand for realistic models that can provide timely answers under uncertainty. Compartmental models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Xiahui Li , Fergus J. Chadwick , Ben Swallow

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

Acquiring accurate channel state information (CSI) is critical for reliable and efficient wireless communication, but challenges such as high pilot overhead and channel aging hinder timely and accurate CSI acquisition. CSI prediction, which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Mehdi Sattari , Javad Aliakbari , Alexandre Graell i Amat , Tommy Svensson

In this paper, we propose a novel multi-variate algorithm using a triple-regression methodology to predict the airborne-pollen allergy season that can be customized for each patient in the long term. To improve the prediction accuracy, we…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-14 Xiaoyu Wu , Zeyu Bai , Jianguo Jia , Youzhi Liang

The analysis of diffusion processes in real-world propagation scenarios often involves estimating variables that are not directly observed. These hidden variables include parental relationships, the strengths of connections between nodes,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-12 Shohreh Shaghaghian , Mark Coates

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

This study applied Bayesian optimization likelihood-free inference(BOLFI) to virus dynamics experimental data and efficiently inferred the model parameters with uncertainty measure. The computational benefit is remarkable compared to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Yingying Xu

Outcome prediction from clinical text can prevent doctors from overlooking possible risks and help hospitals to plan capacities. We simulate patients at admission time, when decision support can be especially valuable, and contribute a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Betty van Aken , Jens-Michalis Papaioannou , Manuel Mayrdorfer , Klemens Budde , Felix A. Gers , Alexander Löser

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

Accurate forecast of a clinical trial enrollment timeline at the planning phase is of great importance to both corporate strategic planning and trial operational excellence. While predictions of key milestones such as last subject first…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-05 Sheng Zhong , Yunzhao Xing , Mengjia Yu , Li Wang

Intrusion Detection Systems (IDS) are critical security mechanisms that protect against a wide variety of network threats and malicious behaviors on networks or hosts. As both Network-based IDS (NIDS) or Host-based IDS (HIDS) have been…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Jinxin Liu , Murat Simsek , Burak Kantarci , Mehran Bagheri , Petar Djukic

This article reviews quantitative methods to estimate the basic reproduction number of pandemic influenza, a key threshold quantity to help determine the intensity of interventions required to control the disease. Although it is difficult…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Gerardo Chowell , Hiroshi Nishiura

The number of emergencies have increased over the years with the growth in urbanization. This pattern has overwhelmed the emergency services with limited resources and demands the optimization of response processes. It is partly due to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Yasas Senarath , Saideep Nannapaneni , Hemant Purohit , Abhishek Dubey

How important is resource depletion (e.g. depletion of target cells) in controlling infection within a host? And how can we distinguish between resource depletion and other mechanisms that may contribute to decline of pathogen load or lead…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-09 Hasan Ahmed , James Moore , Balaji Manicassamy , Adolfo Garcia-Sastre , Andreas Handel , Rustom Antia

The Time Since Infection (TSI) models, which use disease surveillance data to model infectious diseases, have become increasingly popular due to their flexibility and capacity to address complex disease control questions. However, a notable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-10 Jiasheng Shi , Yizhao Zhou , Jing Huang

Accurate prediction of flight-level passenger traffic is of paramount importance in airline operations, influencing key decisions from pricing to route optimization. This study introduces a novel, multimodal deep learning approach to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Sina Ehsani , Elina Sergeeva , Wendy Murdy , Benjamin Fox

Flow matching has recently emerged as a promising alternative to diffusion-based generative models, particularly for text-to-image generation. Despite its flexibility in allowing arbitrary source distributions, most existing approaches rely…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Junwan Kim , Jiho Park , Seonghu Jeon , Seungryong Kim

The unfolding of pandemic influenza A(H1N1) for Fall 2009 in the Northern Hemisphere is still uncertain. Plans for vaccination campaigns and vaccine trials are underway, with the first batches expected to be available early October. Several…

Much traditional statistical modelling assumes that the outcome variables of interest are independent of each other when conditioned on the explanatory variables. This assumption is strongly violated in the case of infectious diseases,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-28 Timothy Kinyanjui , Thomas House

Early and accurate prediction of sepsis onset remains a major challenge in intensive care, where timely detection and subsequent intervention can significantly improve patient outcomes. While machine learning models have shown promise in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Christoph Düsing , Philipp Cimiano