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A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Ka Yin Leung , David Sirl

We study a coupled epidemic-mobility model in which, at each time, individuals move in a network of spatially-distributed regions (sub-populations) according to a Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC) and subsequently interact with the local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Vishal Abhishek , Vaibhav Srivastava

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

The SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic model on an arbitrary network, without making approximations, is a $2^n$-state Markov chain with a unique absorbing state (the all-healthy state). This makes analysis of the SIS model and,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-21 Navid Azizan Ruhi , Christos Thrampoulidis , Babak Hassibi

We study the stability properties of a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diffusion model, so-called the $n$-intertwined Markov model, over arbitrary directed network topologies. As in the majority of the work on infection spread…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Ali Khanafer , Tamer Başar , Bahman Gharesifard

We are interested in describing the infected size of the SIS Epidemic model using Birth-Death Markov process. The Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is defined within a population of constant size $M$; the size is kept constant by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 A. H. Nzokem

We consider a simple stochastic model for the spread of a disease caused by two virus strains in a closed homogeneously mixing population of size N. The spread of each strain in the absence of the other one is described by the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Fabio Lopes , Malwina Luczak

The spreading of epidemics is very much determined by the structure of the contact network, which may be impacted by the mobility dynamics of the individuals themselves. In confined scenarios where a small, closed population spends most of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-09 Clara Granell , Peter J. Mucha

Many real epidemics of an infectious disease are not straightforwardly super- or sub-critical, and the understanding of epidemic models that exhibit such complexity has been identified as a priority for theoretical work. We provide insights…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-23 Graham Brightwell , Thomas House , Malwina Luczak

Most epidemic processes on networks can be modelled by a compartmental model, that specifies the spread of a disease in a population. The corresponding compartmental graph describes how the viral state of the nodes (individuals) changes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-29 Massimo A. Achterberg , Piet Van Mieghem

By means of the asynchronous cellular automata algorithm we study stationary states and spatial patterning in an $SIS$ model, in which the individuals' are attached to the vertices of a graph and their mobility is mimicked by varying the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-06-22 J. M. Ilnytskyi , Y. Kozitsky , H. I. Ilnytskyi , O. Haiduchok

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We study a stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) epidemic dynamics on network, under the effect of a Markovian regime-switching. We first prove the existence of a unique global positive solution, and find a positive invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Stefania Ottaviano , Stefano Bonaccorsi

Recent years have seen a large amount of interest in epidemics on networks as a way of representing the complex structure of contacts capable of spreading infections through the modern human population. The configuration model is a popular…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Frank Ball , Thomas House

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

We study seasonal epidemic spreading in a susceptible-infected-removed-susceptible (SIRS) model on smallworld graphs. We derive a mean-field description that accurately captures the salient features of the model, most notably a phase…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-26 Daniel Malz , Andrea Pizzi , Andreas Nunnenkamp , Johannes Knolle

Infection spread among individuals is modelled with a continuous time Markov chain, in which subject interactions depend on their distance in space. The well known SIR model and non local variants of the latter are then obtained as large…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Franco Flandoli , Francesco Grotto , Andrea Papini , Cristiano Ricci

We study that the breakdown of epidemic depends on some parameters, that is expressed in epidemic reproduction ratio number. It is noted that when $R_0 $ exceeds 1, the stochastic model have two different results. But, eventually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-19 Kurnia Susvitasari
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