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Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

We investigate a quadratic dynamical system known as nonlinear recombinations. This system models the evolution of a probability measure over the Boolean cube, converging to the stationary state obtained as the product of the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-07 Pietro Caputo , Cyril Labbé , Hubert Lacoin

Mathematical models represent one of the fundamental ways of studying nature. In special, epidemic models have shown to be particularly useful in the understanding of the course of diseases and in the planning effective control policies. A…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-19 Paulo C. Ventura , Eric K. Tokuda , Luciano da F. Costa , Francisco A. Rodrigues

We study an infection-age structured epidemic model in which both the infectivity and the rate of loss of immunity depend on the time-since-infection. The model can be equivalently viewed as a nonlinear renewal equation for the incidence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Francesca Scarabel , Harry Coldwell , Tyler Cassidy

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

In this paper we consider a model for the spread of a stochastic SIR (Susceptible $\to$ Infectious $\to$ Recovered) epidemic on a network of individuals described by a random intersection graph. Individuals belong to a random number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-29 Frank G. Ball , David J. Sirl , Pieter Trapman

We study a generalization of the classical contact process (SIS epidemic model) in a directed graph $G$. Our model is a continuous-time interacting particle system in which at every time, each vertex is either healthy or infected, and each…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-26 Shirshendu Chatterjee , David Sivakoff , Matthew Wascher

The dynamics of many epidemic compartmental models for infectious diseases that spread in a single host population present a second-order phase transition. This transition occurs as a function of the infectivity parameter, from the absence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-02 Alex Arenas , Antonio Garijo , Sergio Gómez , Jordi Villadelprat

To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

Even though transitivity is a central structural feature of social networks, its influence on epidemic spread on coevolving networks has remained relatively unexplored. Here we introduce and study an adaptive SIS epidemic model wherein the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-12 Hsuan-Wei Lee , Nishant Malik , Feng Shi , Peter J. Mucha

We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its neighbors independently with probability $p$. This is also known as the independent cascade or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with fixed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Christian Borgs , Amin Saberi

In this paper we study the diffusion of an SIS-type epidemics on a network under the presence of a random environment, that enters in the definition of the infection rates of the nodes. Accordingly, we model the infection rates in the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-25 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano

We consider the East model in $\mathbb Z^d$, an example of a kinetically constrained interacting particle system with oriented constraints, together with one of its natural variant. Under any ergodic boundary condition it is known that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Concetta Campailla , Fabio Martinelli

The mobility patterns of individuals in China during the early outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic exhibit reversible changes -- in many regions, the mobility first decreased significantly and later restored. Based on this observation, here…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-25 Xincheng Shu , Zhongyuan Ruan

This paper studies efficient algorithms for dynamic curing policies and the corresponding network design problems to guarantee the fast extinction of epidemic spread in a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model. We consider a Markov…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Yuhao Yi , Liren Shan , Shijie Wang , Philip E. Paré , Karl H. Johansson

It is generally accepted that scale-free networks is prone to epidemic spreading allowing the onset of large epidemics whatever the spreading rate of the infection. In the paper, we show that disease propagation may be suppressed in…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-03-05 Zhongzhi Zhang , Shuigeng Zhou , Tao Zou , Jihong Guan

We study convergence to equilibrium for a large class of Markov chains in random environment. The chains are sparse in the sense that in every row of the transition matrix $P$ the mass is essentially concentrated on few entries. Moreover,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Justin Salez

In the standard SIR model, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\lambda$ independently across each edge. They also recover at rate $\gamma$. In this work we consider the SIR-$\omega$ model where the graph structure itself…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Wenze Chen , Yuewen Hou , Dong Yao

We consider Markovian susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) dynamics on time-invariant weighted contact networks where the infection and removal processes are Poisson and where network links may be directed or undirected. We prove that a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-12-19 Kieran J. Sharkey , Istvan Z. Kiss , Robert R. Wilkinson , Peter L. Simon

A stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a social network is analysed. The underlying social network is described by an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph but, during the course of the epidemic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Frank Ball , Tom Britton