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Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

Transferability scores aim to quantify how well a model trained on one domain generalizes to a target domain. Despite numerous methods proposed for measuring transferability, their reliability and practical usefulness remain inconclusive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Alireza Kazemi , Helia Rezvani , Mahsa Baktashmotlagh

Complex interactions between two opposing agents frequently occur in domains of machine learning, game theory, and other application domains. Quantitatively analyzing the strategies involved can provide an objective basis for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Calvin C. K. Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

In this work we propose a multi-modal architecture for analyzing soccer scenes from tactical camera footage, with a focus on three core tasks: ball trajectory inference, ball state classification, and ball possessor identification. To this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Marc Peral , Guillem Capellera , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Rubio , Antonio Agudo

This note proposes a penalty criterion for assessing correct score forecasting in a soccer match. The penalty is based on hierarchical priorities for such a forecast i.e., i) Win, Draw and Loss exact prediction and ii) normalized Euclidian…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-06 Jean-Louis Foulley , Gilles Celeux

We propose an original model for inferring team strengths using a Markov Random Field, which can be used to generate historical estimates of the offensive and defensive strengths of a team over time. This model was designed to be applied to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-10 John Zech , Frank Wood

We modeled the dynamics of a soccer match based on a network representation where players are nodes discretely clustered into homogeneous groups. Players were grouped by physical proximity, supported by the intuitive notion that competing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Luis Ramada Pereira , Rui J. Lopes , Jorge Louçã , Duarte Araújo , João Ramos

While football analytics has changed the way teams and analysts assess performance, there remains a communication gap between machine learning practice and how coaching staff talk about football. Coaches and practitioners require actionable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Pegah Rahimian , Jernej Flisar , David Sumpter

Image-based sports analytics enable automatic retrieval of key events in a game to speed up the analytics process for human experts. However, most existing methods focus on structured television broadcast video datasets with a straight and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-20 Subhajit Chaudhury , Daiki Kimura , Phongtharin Vinayavekhin , Asim Munawar , Ryuki Tachibana , Koji Ito , Yuki Inaba , Minoru Matsumoto , Shuji Kidokoro , Hiroki Ozaki

In this article we revise the football's performance score called PlayeRank, designed and evaluated by Pappalardo et al.\ in 2019. First, we analyze the weights extracted from the Linear Support Vector Machine (SVM) that solves the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Louise Schmidt , Cristian Lillo , Javier Bustos

The standard mixture modeling framework has been widely used to study heterogeneous populations, by modeling them as being composed of a finite number of homogeneous sub-populations. However, the standard mixture model assumes that each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Emiliano Seri , Roberto Rocci , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Linear models that contain a time-dependent response and explanatory variables have attracted much interest in recent years. The most general form of the existing approaches is of a linear regression model with autoregressive moving average…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Hamed Haselimashhadi , Veronica Vinciotti

The objective of this study was to incorporate contextual information into the modelling of player movements. This was achieved by combining the distributions of forthcoming passing contests that players committed to and those they did not.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Bartholomew Spencer , Karl Jackson , Sam Robertson

The increase in the collection of biological data allows for the individual and longitudinal monitoring of hematological or urine biomarkers. However, identifying abnormal behavior in these biological sequences is not trivial. Moreover, the…

Model-assisted estimation with complex survey data is an important practical problem in survey sampling. When there are many auxiliary variables, selecting significant variables associated with the study variable would be necessary to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim

This project aims to assess the performance of various regression models in predicting the performance of hockey players. The measure of performance is chosen to be points scored (sum of goals scored and assists made) by individual players…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shuja Khalid

We propose a way of extracting and aggregating per-move evaluations from sets of Go game records. The evaluations capture different aspects of the games such as played patterns or statistic of sente/gote sequences. Using machine learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Josef Moudřík , Petr Baudiš , Roman Neruda

Evaluating the performance of human is a common need across many applications, such as in engineering and sports. When evaluating human performance in completing complex and interactive tasks, the most common way is to use a metric having…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-24 Chaoyi Gu , Varuna De Silva

We present a new approach for identifying situations and behaviours, which we call "moves", from soccer games in the 2D simulation league. Being able to identify key situations and behaviours are useful capabilities for analysing soccer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Olivia Michael , Oliver Obst , Falk Schmidsberger , Frieder Stolzenburg

In recent years, analytics has started to revolutionize the game of basketball: quantitative analyses of the game inform team strategy, management of player health and fitness, and how teams draft, sign, and trade players. In this review,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-22 Zachary Terner , Alexander Franks