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On a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{A},\mathbb{Q})$ we consider two filtrations $\mathbb{F}\subset \mathbb{G}$ and a $\mathbb{G}$ stopping time $\theta$ such that the $\mathbb{G}$ predictable processes coincide with $\mathbb{F}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-06 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

This paper extends results of Mortimer and Williams (1991) about changes of probability measure up to a random time under the assumptions that all martingales are continuous and that the random time avoids stopping times. We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Dörte Kreher

Given a random time, we characterize the set of martingales for which the stopping theorems still hold. We also investigate how the stopping theorems are modified when we consider arbitrary random times. To this end, we introduce some…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-03 Ashkan Nikeghbali

Invariance properties of semimartingales on Lie groups under a family of random transformations are defined and investigated, generalizing the random rotations of the Brownian motion. A necessary and sufficient explicit condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

Time reversal invariance can be summarized as follows: no difference can be measured if a sequence of events is run forward or backward in time. Because price time series are dominated by a randomness that hides possible structures and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Gilles Zumbach

In this paper, we provide a solution to two problems which have been open in default time modeling in credit risk. We first show that if $\tau$ is an arbitrary random (default) time such that its Az\'ema's supermartingale…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Delia Coculescu , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We prove that the default times (or any of their minima) in the dynamic Gaussian copula model of Cr{\'e}pey, Jeanblanc, and Wu (2013) are invariance times in the sense of Cr{\'e}pey and Song (2017), with related invariance probability…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-13 Stéphane Crépey , Shiqi Song

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of diffusion processes is revisited. An integration by parts formula is derived for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process in an abstract space. It leads to a time reversal formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Patrick Cattiaux , Giovanni Conforti , Ivan Gentil , Christian Léonard

This paper is about statistical properties of quasistatic dynamical systems. These are a class of non-stationary systems that model situations where the dynamics change very slowly over time due to external influence. We focus on the case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Juho Leppänen

Stochastic symmetries and related invariance properties of finite dimensional SDEs driven by general c\`adl\`ag semimartingales taking values in Lie groups are defined and investigated. In order to enlarge the class of possible symmetries…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Sergio Albeverio , Francesco C. De Vecchi , Paola Morando , Stefania Ugolini

Starting from the seventies mathematicians face the question whether a non-negative local martingale is a true or a strict local martingale. In this article we answer this question from a semimartingale perspective. We connect the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-10 David Criens , Kathrin Glau

The equivalence between multiportfolio time consistency of a dynamic multivariate risk measure and a supermartingale property is proven. Furthermore, the dual variables under which this set-valued supermartingale is a martingale are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-02 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

Recently, D. Williams \cite{williams} gave an explicit example of a random time $\rho $ associated with Brownian motion such that $\rho $ is not a stopping time but $\mathbb{E}M_{\rho}=\mathbb{E}M_{0}$ for every bounded martingale $M$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Marc Yor

In this paper we study the path-regularity and martingale properties of the set-valued stochastic integrals defined in our previous work Ararat et al. (2023). Such integrals have some fundamental differences from the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Çağın Ararat , Jin Ma

We consider a market model where there are two levels of information. The public information generated by the financial assets, and a larger flow of information that contains additional knowledge about a random time. This random time can…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-30 Tahir Choulli , Catherine Daveloose , Michèle Vanmaele

We study a notion of local time for a continuous path, defined as a limit of suitable discrete quantities along a general sequence of partitions of the time interval. Our approach subsumes other existing definitions and agrees with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Mark Davis , Jan Obłój , Pietro Siorpaes

First-passage properties are central to the kinetics of target-search processes. Theoretical approaches so far primarily focused on predicting first-passage statistics for a given process or model. In practice, however, one faces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-08 Rick Bebon , Aljaz Godec

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

Stochastic exponentials are defined for semimartingales on stochastic intervals, and stochastic logarithms are defined for semimartingales, up to the first time the semimartingale hits zero continuously. In the case of (nonnegative) local…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf
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