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In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems with risk constraints that are expressed as bounded probabilities of failure for particular initial states. We present here a martingale approach that diffuses a risk…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Vu Anh Huynh , Leonid Kogan , Emilio Frazzoli

We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Samuel Cohen , Shaolin Ji , Shige Peng

Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model is mathematically presented and then used in a Credit-Equity hybrid framework. Next, we propose extensions to the CEV model with default: firstly by adding a stochastic volatility diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marc Atlan , Boris Leblanc

We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Archil Gulisashvili

In this paper we introduce the concept of conic martingales}. This class refers to stochastic processes having the martingale property, but that evolve within given (possibly time-dependent) boundaries. We first review some results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Frédéric Vrins , Monique Jeanblanc

Consider a stochastic process $\mathfrak{X}$, regenerative at a state $x$ which is instantaneous and regular. Let $L$ be a regenerative local time for $\mathfrak{X}$ at $x$. Suppose furthermore that $\mathfrak{X}$ can be approximated by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Aleksandar Mijatović , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

It is shown that under a certain condition on a semimartingale and a time-change, any stochastic integral driven by the time-changed semimartingale is a time-changed stochastic integral driven by the original semimartingale. As a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Kei Kobayashi

Lions and Musiela (2007) give sufficient conditions to verify when a stochastic exponential of a continuous local martingale is a martingale or a uniformly integrable martingale. Blei and Engelbert (2009) and Mijatovi\'c and Urusov (2012c)…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-10 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui , Don McLeish

We show that one can perform causal inference in a natural way for continuous-time scenarios using tools from stochastic analysis. This provides new alternatives to the positivity condition for inverse probability weighting. The probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Kjetil Røysland

Many results in stochastic analysis and mathematical finance involve local martingales. However, specific examples of strict local martingales are rare and analytically often rather unhandy. We study local martingales that follow a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-13 Martin Herdegen , Sebastian Herrmann

Let $\mathbb{\hat{E}}$ be the upper expectation of a weakly compact but non-dominated family $\mathcal{P}$ of probability measures. Assume that $Y$ is a $d$-dimensional $\mathcal{P}$-semimartingale under $\mathbb{\hat{E}}$. Given an open…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Guomin Liu

We study the short-time asymptotics of conditional expectations of smooth and non-smooth functions of a (discontinuous) Ito semimartingale; we compute the leading term in the asymptotics in terms of the local characteristics of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-08 Amel Bentata , Rama Cont

For control systems in discrete time, this paper discusses measure-theoretic invariance entropy for a subset Q of the state space with respect to a quasi-stationary measure obtained by endowing the control range with a probability measure.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fritz Colonius

The paper studies thin times which are random times whose graph is contained in a countable union of the graphs of stopping times with respect to a reference filtration $\mathbb F$. We show that a generic random time can be decomposed into…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Monique Jeanblanc

We characterize the event of convergence of a local supermartingale. Conditions are given in terms of its predictable characteristics and quadratic variation. The notion of stationarily local integrability plays a key role.

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-16 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

We provide a nonparametric method for the computation of instantaneous multivariate volatility for continuous semi-martingales, which is based on Fourier analysis. The co-volatility is reconstructed as a stochastic function of time by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Paul Malliavin , Maria Elvira Mancino

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a num\'eraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-01 Nikolai Dokuchaev