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We introduce a two-strain model with asymmetric temporary immunity periods and partial cross-immunity. We derive explicit conditions for competitive exclusion and coexistence of the strains depending on the strain-specific basic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Matthew D. Johnston , Bruce Pell , David A. Rubel

Spatio-temporal models for infection counts generally follow themes of the broader disease mapping literature, but may need to address specific features of spatio-temporal infection data including considerable time fluctuations (with…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-22 P. Congdon

A social (sexual) network is modeled by an extension of the configuration model to the situation where edges have weights, e.g. reflecting the number of sex-contacts between the individuals. An epidemic model is defined on the network such…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Tom Britton , David Lindenstrand

This paper is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li

Stochastic, spatially extended models for predator-prey interaction display spatio-temporal structures that are not captured by the Lotka-Volterra mean-field rate equations. These spreading activity fronts reflect persistent correlations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-09 Uwe C. Täuber

Vector-borne diseases often infect multiple host species, increasing the likelihood of disease persistence due to the presence of multiple reservoirs. Vector biting patterns and feeding preferences can shift in response to selective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Shravani Shetgaonkar , Anupama Sharma

This paper is concerned with the spatio-temporal dynamics of an age-structured reaction-diffusion system of KPP-epidemic type (SIS), subject to Neumann boundary conditions and incorporating $L^1$ blow-up type death rate. We first establish…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Cong-Bang Trang , Hoang-Hung Vo

To investigate the combined effects of drug resistance, seasonality and vector-bias, we formulate a periodic two-strain reaction-diffusion model. It is a competitive system for resistant and sensitive strains, but the single-strain…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Huijie Chu , Zhenguo Bai

Recently the A/H1N1-2009 virus pandemic appeared in Mexico and in other nations. We present a study of this pandemic in the Mexican case using the SIR model to describe epidemics. This model is one of the simplest models but it has been a…

Biological Physics · Physics 2012-10-26 Mario A. Rodriguez-Meza

Predicting the spread of vector-borne diseases in response to incursions requires knowledge of both host and vector demographics in advance of an outbreak. Whereas host population data is typically available, for novel disease introductions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-02 Chris Jewell , Richard Brown

We propose a time-fractional compartmental model (SEI$_A$I$_S$HRD) comprising of the susceptible, exposed, infected (asymptomatic and symptomatic), hospitalized, recovered and dead population for the Covid-19 pandemic. We study the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-17 Toheeb A. Biala , Abdul Q. Khaliq

A simplified SIS reaction-diffusion-advection model is proposed and investigated to understand the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and advection on the persistence and eradication of an infectious disease. The free boundary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Jing Ge , Kwang Ik Kim , Zhigui Lin , Huaiping Zhu

This paper deals with a simplified SIS model, which describes the transmission of the disease in time-periodic heterogeneous environment. To understand the impact of spatial heterogeneity of environment and small advection on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Jing Ge , Chengxia Lei , Zhigui Lin

Vector-transmitted diseases such as dengue fever and chikungunya have been spreading rapidly in many parts of the world. The Zika virus has been known since 1947 and invaded South America in 2013. It can be transmitted not only by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-23 Fred Brauer , Carlos Castillo-Chavez , Anuj Mubayi , Sherry Towers

The effect of diffusion rates on the basic reproduction number of a general compartmental reaction-diffusion epidemic model in a heterogeneous environment is considered. It is shown when the diffusion rates tend to zero, the limit of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Shanshan Chen , Junping Shi

We consider a space-time SI epidemic model with infection age-dependent infectivity and non-local infections constructed on a grid of the torus $\mathbb{T}^1 =(0, 1]^d$, where the individuals may migrate from node to another. The migration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-06 Anicet Mougabe-Peurkor , Étienne Pardoux , Ténan Yeo

We investigate a model for a mosquito-borne epidemic in which human hosts may adopt protective behaviour against vector bites in response to information on both past and current disease prevalence. Assuming that mosquitoes can also feed on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-08 Simone De Reggi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Cinzia Soresina

Ross-Macdonald models are the building blocks of most vector-borne disease models. Even for the same disease, different authors use different model formulations, but a study of the dynamical consequences of assuming different hypotheses is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Mario Ignacio Simoy , Juan Pablo Aparicio

For many diseases it is reasonable to assume that the hazard rate is not constant across time, but also that it changes in different time intervals. To capture this, we work here with a piecewise survival model. One of the major problems in…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-08 Dimitra Eleftheriou , Dimitris Karlis

A class of stochastic vector-borne infectious disease models is derived and studied. The class type is determined by a general nonlinear incidence rate of the disease. The disease spreads in a highly random environment with variability from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Divine Wanduku