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We propose a new stochastic epidemiological model defined in a continuous space of arbitrary dimension, based on SIS dynamics implemented in a spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot (SLFV) process. The model can be described by as little as three…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Apolline Louvet , Bastian Wiederhold

The emergence or adaptation of pathogens may lead to epidemics, highlighting the need for a thorough understanding of pathogen evolution. The tradeoff hypothesis suggests that virulence evolves to reach an optimal transmission intensity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Daniel A. M. Villela

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this paper, we carry out a computational study using the spectral decomposition of the fluctuations of a two-pathogen epidemic model around its deterministic attractor, i.e., steady state or limit cycle, to examine the role of partial…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-01 Yury E. García , Marcos A. Capistrán

This paper concerns the free boundary problem of an epidemic model. The spatial movements of the infectious agents and the infective humans are approximated by nonlocal diffusion operators. Especially, both the growth rate of the agents and…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Xueping Li , Lei Li , Mingxin Wang

The global existence and boundedness of solutions to quasi-linear reaction-diffusion systems are investigated. The system arises from compartmental models describing the spread of infectious diseases proposed in [Viguerie et al, Appl. Math.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Juan Yang , Jeff Morgan , Bao Quoc Tang

In this paper we study a nonlinear infection viral propagation model with diffusion, in which, the left boundary is fixed and with homogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions, while the right boundary is free. We find that the habitat always…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Mingxin Wang

It has long been known that epidemics can travel along communication lines, such as roads. In the current COVID-19 epidemic, it has been observed that major roads have enhanced its propagation in Italy. We propose a new simple model of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Michel Roquejoffre , Luca Rossi

The dynamics that govern disease spread are hard to model because infections are functions of both the underlying pathogen as well as human or animal behavior. This challenge is increased when modeling how diseases spread between different…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Parker Trostle , Joseph Guinness , Brian J. Reich

The increase in the connectivity between hosts in recent times has facilitated the emergence of more aggressive mutant viral strains, making their containment and eradication significantly more challenging compared to the original variants.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-27 Javier López-Pedrares , M. Elena Vázquez-Cendón , Alberto P. Muñuzuri

The duration of the infectious period is a crucial determinant of the ability of an infectious disease to spread. We consider an epidemic model that is network based and non-Markovian, containing classic Kermack-McKendrick, pairwise,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-25 Robert R. Wilkinson , Kieran J. Sharkey

The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

We construct an epidemic model for the transmission of dengue fever with an early-life stage in the vector dynamics and age-structure within hosts. The early-life stage of the vector is modeled via a general function that supports multiple…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-01 Fabio Sanchez , Juan G. Calvo

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

The epidemic threshold of a spreading process indicates the condition for the occurrence of the wide spreading regime, thus representing a predictor of the network vulnerability to the epidemic. Such threshold depends on the natural history…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Eugenio Valdano , Chiara Poletto , Vittoria Colizza

This study investigates an SEIS PDE model with a free boundary, which captures the dynamics of epidemic transmission, including diseases like COVID-19. This parabolic PDE system is analyzed in a rotationally symmetric domain, and the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Aesol Jeon , Ki-Ahm Lee

The epidemic threshold is probably the most studied quantity in the modelling of epidemics on networks. For a large class of networks and dynamics the epidemic threshold is well studied and understood. However, it is less so for clustered…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-19 Rosanna C. Barnard , Luc Berthouze , Péter L. Simon , István Z. Kiss

In this work we study the stability properties of the equilibrium points of deterministic epidemic models with nonconstant population size. Models with nonconstant population have been studied in the past only in particular cases, two of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Florin Avram , Rim Adenane , Lasko Basnarkov , Gianluca Bianchin , Dan Goreac , Andrei Halanay

This paper investigates the long-time dynamics of a nonlocal epidemic model with free boundaries, where a pathogen with density $u(t,x)$ and the infected humans with density $v(t,x)$ evolve according to a reaction-diffusion system with…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Yao Chen , Yihong Du , Wan-Tong Li , Rong Wang

A random graph model with prescribed degree distribution and degree dependent edge weights is introduced. Each vertex is independently equipped with a random number of half-edges and each half-edge is assigned an integer valued weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fredrik Liljeros
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