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Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard in the United States. Furthermore, it is increasing in intensity, frequency, and duration, making skillful forecasts vital to protecting life and property. Traditional numerical weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Kelsey E. Ennis , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Marybeth C. Arcodia , Martin A. Fernandez , Eric D. Maloney

Traffic Analysis Zones (TAZ) based macroscopic simulation studies are mostly applied in evacuation planning and operation areas. The large size in TAZ and aggregated information of macroscopic simulation underestimate the real evacuation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-14 Wei Lu

The time series of the number of hurricanes per year in the Atlantic basin shows a clear change of level between 1994 and 1995. The time series of the number of hurricanes that make landfall in the US, however, does not show the same…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kechi Nzerem , Stephen Jewson , Thomas Laepple

Accelerated sea level rise has resulted in recurrent flooding in coastal regions, increasingly impacting both transportation systems and local populations. Using the Hampton Roads region in Virginia as a case study, this study a. identifies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-14 Luwei Zeng , T. Donna Chen , John S. Miller , Faria Tuz Zahura , Jonathan L. Goodall

The objective of this study is to predict road flooding risks based on topographic, hydrologic, and temporal precipitation features using machine learning models. Predictive flood monitoring of road network flooding status plays an…

This paper focuses on the crucial task of addressing the evacuation of hazardous places, which holds great importance for coordinators, event hosts, and authorities. To facilitate the development of effective solutions, the paper employs…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Afnan Alazbah , Khalid Fakeeh , Osama Rabie

Human mobility networks can reveal insights into resilience phenomena, such as population response to, impacts on, and recovery from crises. The majority of human mobility network resilience characterizations, however, focus mainly on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-02 Chia-Wei Hsu , Matthew Alexander Ho , Ali Mostafavi

The refugee crisis is perhaps the single most challenging problem for Europe today. Hundreds of thousands of people have already traveled across dangerous sea passages from Turkish shores to Greek islands, resulting in thousands of dead and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Harris V. Georgiou

Although each year brings rapid advancement in meteorology and forecasting technology, the threat of natural disasters is not totally predictable. Predictability, however, still will not guarantee avoidability, thus adequate time to react…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-03 Caitlin Feltner , Emily Lewis , Jamie Peck , Mark Shipps , Scott Holmdahl

Facebook Disaster Maps (FBDM) is the first platform providing analysis-ready population change products derived from crowdsourced data targeting disaster relief practices. We evaluate the representativeness of FBDM data using the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Shenyue Jia , Seung Hee Kim , Son V. Nghiem , Paul Doherty , Menas Kafatos

Principled decision making in emergency response management necessitates the use of statistical models that predict the spatial-temporal likelihood of incident occurrence. These statistical models are then used for proactive stationing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Sayyed Mohsen Vazirizade , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Geoffrey Pettet , Said El Said , Hiba Baroud , Abhishek Dubey

Ambulance services worldwide are of vital importance to population health. Timely responding to incidents by dispatching an ambulance vehicle to the location a call came from can offer significant benefits to patient care across a number of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Gergana Todorova , Anastasios Noulas

We study the problem of evacuation planning for natural disasters, focusing on wildfire evacuations. By creating pre-planned evacuation routes that can be updated based on real-time data, we provide an easily adjustable approach to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Steffen Borgwardt , Nicholas Crawford , Drew Horton , Angela Morrison , Emily Speakman

One possible method for predicting landfalling hurricane numbers is to first predict the number of hurricanes in the basin and then convert that prediction to a prediction of landfalling hurricane numbers using an estimated proportion.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Stephen Jewson , Thomas Laepple , Adam O'Shay , Jeremy Penzer , Enrica Bellone , Kechi Nzerem

Future sea-level rise drives severe risks for many coastal communities. Strategies to manage these risks hinge on a sound characterization of the uncertainties. For example, recent studies suggest that large fractions of the Antarctic ice…

Geophysics · Physics 2017-10-13 Tony E. Wong , Klaus Keller

Estimation of excess deaths due to a natural disaster is an important public health problem. The CDC provides guidelines to fill death certificates to help determine the death toll of such events. But, even when followed by medical…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera , Wolfgang Rolke

This study investigates the spatial patterns and temporal variations in outage duration, intensity, and restoration/recovery following the 2024 Hurricane Beryl in Houston, Texas. This historic blackout caused widespread power disruptions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Xiangpeng Li , Junwei Ma , Ali Mostafavi

Recent extreme tropical cyclones caused extensive damages to critical civil infrastructure globally. To better capture the unique hurricane wind characteristics, a large eddy simulation (LES) Hurricane Boundary Layer (HBL) model is…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-06 Tianqi Ma , Chao Sun , Paul Miller

The 2023 Lahaina wildfire killed 102 people on a peninsula served by a single two-lane highway, making exit lane capacity the binding constraint on evacuation time. We model the evacuation as a system of hyperbolic scalar conservation laws…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Annie Lu , Hong Kiat Tan , Alexander Xue , Alice Koniges , Andrea L. Bertozzi

Examining the relationship between vulnerability of the built environment and community recovery is crucial for understanding disaster resilience. Yet, this relationship is rather neglected in the existing literature due to previous…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-09 Junwei Ma , Russell Blessing , Samuel Brody , Ali Mostafavi