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A/B tests, also known as randomized controlled experiments (RCTs), are the gold standard for evaluating the impact of new policies, products, or decisions. However, these tests can be costly in terms of time and resources, potentially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-03 Shima Nassiri , Mohsen Bayati , Joe Cooprider

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a useful tool to compare multiple interventions simultaneously in a single meta-analysis, it can be very helpful for medical decision making when the study aims to find the best therapy among several active…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ao Huang , Yi Zhou , Satoshi Hattori

Optimal propensity score matching has emerged as one of the most ubiquitous approaches for causal inference studies on observational data; However, outstanding critiques of the statistical properties of propensity score matching have cast…

In most real-world recommender systems, the observed rating data are subject to selection bias, and the data are thus missing-not-at-random. Developing a method to facilitate the learning of a recommender with biased feedback is one of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Yuta Saito

Selecting an automatic metric that best emulates human annotators is often non-trivial, because there is no clear definition of "best emulates." A meta-metric is required to compare the human judgments to the automatic metric scores, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Brian Thompson , Nitika Mathur , Daniel Deutsch , Huda Khayrallah

Propensity scores are commonly used to estimate treatment effects from observational data. We argue that the probabilistic output of a learned propensity score model should be calibrated -- i.e., a predictive treatment probability of 90%…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Shachi Deshpande , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Imbalanced data, where the positive samples represent only a small proportion compared to the negative samples, makes it challenging for classification problems to balance the false positive and false negative rates. A common approach to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Pengfei Lyu , Zhengchi Ma , Linjun Zhang , Anru R. Zhang

Despite an increasing reliance on fully-automated algorithmic decision-making in our day-to-day lives, human beings still make highly consequential decisions. As frequently seen in business, healthcare, and public policy, recommendations…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Kosuke Imai , Zhichao Jiang , James Greiner , Ryan Halen , Sooahn Shin

Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise as automated evaluators for assessing the quality of answers generated by AI systems. However, these LLM-based evaluators exhibit position bias, or inconsistency, when used to evaluate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zongjie Li , Chaozheng Wang , Pingchuan Ma , Daoyuan Wu , Shuai Wang , Cuiyun Gao , Yang Liu

Parallel evolutionary algorithms (PEAs) have been studied for reducing the execution time of evolutionary algorithms by utilizing parallel computing. An asynchronous PEA (APEA) is a scheme of PEAs that increases computational efficiency by…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Tomohiro Harada

Matching and weighting methods for observational studies involve the choice of an estimand, the causal effect with reference to a specific target population. Commonly used estimands include the average treatment effect in the treated (ATT),…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-12 Noah Greifer , Elizabeth A. Stuart

How should researchers adjust for covariates? We show that if the propensity score is estimated using a specific covariate balancing approach, inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW), and inverse…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Tymon Słoczyński , S. Derya Uysal , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Selection bias is pervasive in observational studies. For example, large scale biobanks data can exhibit ``healthy volunteer bias'' when respondents are healthier and of higher socio-economic status than the population they are meant to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Yiwen Qiu , Filip Kovacevic , Shimeng Huang , Peter Spirtes , Francesco Locatello

Background: The rapid advancement of Machine Learning (ML) represents novel opportunities to enhance public health research, surveillance, and decision-making. However, there is a lack of comprehensive understanding of algorithmic bias,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Shaina Raza , Arash Shaban-Nejad , Elham Dolatabadi , Hiroshi Mamiya

The SLAM paper demonstrated that on-device Small Language Models (SLMs) are a viable and cost-effective alternative to API-based Large Language Models (LLMs), such as OpenAI's GPT-4, offering comparable performance and stability. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Roland Daynauth , Jason Mars

In observational studies, confounding variables affect both treatment and outcome. Moreover, instrumental variables also influence the treatment assignment mechanism. This situation sets the study apart from a standard randomized controlled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Atomsa Gemechu Abdisa , Yingchun Zhou , Yuqi Qiu

When aligning large language models (LLMs), their performance on various tasks (such as being helpful, harmless, and honest) depends heavily on the composition of their training data. However, selecting a data mixture that achieves strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Nicholas E. Corrado , Julian Katz-Samuels , Adithya Devraj , Hyokun Yun , Chao Zhang , Yi Xu , Yi Pan , Bing Yin , Trishul Chilimbi

The ensemble average of physical properties of molecules is closely related to the distribution of molecular conformations, and sampling such distributions is a fundamental challenge in physics and chemistry. Traditional methods like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Liya Guo , Zun Wang , Chang Liu , Junzhe Li , Pipi Hu , Yi Zhu

To improve Multi-step Mathematical Reasoning (MsMR) of Large Language Models (LLMs), it is crucial to obtain scalable supervision from the corpus by automatically critiquing mistakes in the reasoning process of MsMR and rendering a final…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Changyuan Tian , Zhicong Lu , Shuang Qian , Nayu Liu , Peiguang Li , Li Jin , Leiyi Hu , Zhizhao Zeng , Sirui Wang , Ke Zeng , Zhi Guo

In estimating the average treatment effect in observational studies, the influence of confounders should be appropriately addressed. To this end, the propensity score is widely used. If the propensity scores are known for all the subjects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-08 Chengyao Tang , Yi Zhou , Ao Huang , Satoshi Hattori
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