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A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

This paper presents a parameter scan technique for BSM signal models based on normalizing flow. Normalizing flow is a type of deep learning model that transforms a simple probability distribution into a complex probability distribution as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Masahiko Saito , Masahiro Morinaga , Tomoe Kishimoto , Junichi Tanaka

We consider Bayesian multiple statistical classification problem in the case where the unknown source distributions are estimated from the labeled training sequences, then the estimates are used as nominal distributions in a robust…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Hüseyin Afşer

Positive and unlabelled learning is an important problem which arises naturally in many applications. The significant limitation of almost all existing methods lies in assuming that the propensity score function is constant (SCAR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Konrad Furmańczyk , Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

We consider the procedure proposed by Bhandari et al. (2009) in the context of two-treatment clinical trials, with the objective of minimizing the applications of the less effective drug to the least number of patients. Our focus is on an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Sampurna Kundu , Jayant Jha , Subir Kumar Bhandari

Deep metric learning (DML) is a popular approach for images retrieval, solving verification (same or not) problems and addressing open set classification. Arguably, the most common DML approach is with triplet loss, despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Istvan Fehervari , Avinash Ravichandran , Srikar Appalaraju

Probabilistic and set-based methods are two approaches for model invalidation, parameter and state estimation. Both classes of methods use different types of data, i.e. deterministic or probabilistic data, which allow different statements…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Stefan Streif , Didier Henrion , Rolf Findeisen

BACKGROUND: Analytical techniques are being implemented with increasing frequency to improve the management of surgical departments and to ensure that decisions are well-informed. Often these analytical techniques rely on the validity of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-25 Belinda Spratt , Erhan Kozan , Michael Sinnott

Generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) encompass large class of statistical models, with a vast range of applications areas. GLMM extends the linear mixed models allowing for different types of response variable. Three most common data…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Wagner Hugo Bonat , Paulo Justiniano Ribeiro , Silvia emiko Shimakura

The tail of a bivariate distribution function in the domain of attraction of a bivariate extreme-value distribution may be approximated by the one of its extreme-value attractor. The extreme-value attractor has margins that belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Simon Guillotte , Francois Perron , Johan Segers

We present a computational framework for efficient learning, sampling, and distribution of general Bayesian posterior distributions. The framework leverages a machine learning approach for the construction of normalizing flows for the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2023-10-10 Yukari Yamauchi , Landon Buskirk , Pablo Giuliani , Kyle Godbey

Probabilistic record linkage (PRL) is the process of determining which records in two databases correspond to the same underlying entity in the absence of a unique identifier. Bayesian solutions to this problem provide a powerful mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-05 Brendan S. McVeigh , Jared S. Murray

Most analyses of randomised trials with incomplete outcomes make untestable assumptions and should therefore be subjected to sensitivity analyses. However, methods for sensitivity analyses are not widely used. We propose a mean score…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Ian R. White , James Carpenter , Nicholas J. Horton

Using instruments comprising ordered responses to items are ubiquitous for studying many constructs of interest. However, using such an item response format may lead to items with response categories infrequently endorsed or unendorsed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-02 R. Noah Padgett , Grant B. Morgan , Tim Lomas

Probability samples are the preferred method for providing inferences that are generalizable to a larger population. However, when a small (or rare) subpopulation is the group of interest, this approach is unlikely to yield a sample size…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Michael W. Robbins , Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar , Rajeev Ramchand

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a common name for an emerging family of approaches that infer the model parameters when the likelihood is intractable. Existing SBI methods either approximate the likelihood, such as Approximate Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Theo Gruner , Boris Belousov , Fabio Muratore , Daniel Palenicek , Jan Peters

This paper develops semiparametric methods for estimation and inference of widely used inequality measures when survey data are subject to nonignorable nonresponse, a challenging setting in which response probabilities depend on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Xinyu Wang , Chunlin Wang , Tao Yu , Pengfei Li

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

The following zero-sum game between nature and a statistician blends Bayesian methods with frequentist methods such as p-values and confidence intervals. Nature chooses a posterior distribution consistent with a set of possible priors. At…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-19 David R. Bickel