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We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

Small area population estimates are useful for decision making in the private and public sectors. However, in small areas (i.e., those that are difficult to reach and with small population sizes) computing demographic quantities is…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jairo Fúquene , Andryu Mendoza , Cesar Cristancho , Mariana Ospina

Population estimation is crucial for various applications, from resource allocation to urban planning. Traditional methods such as surveys and censuses are expensive, time-consuming and also heavily dependent on human resources, requiring…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Jai Singla , Peal Jotania , Keivalya Pandya

Density estimation for geospatial data ideally relies on precise geocoordinates, typically defined by longitude and latitude. However, such detailed information is often unavailable due to confidentiality constraints. As a result, analysts…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-06 Michael Mühlbauer , Timo Schmid

Accurate and timely population data are essential for disaster response and humanitarian planning, but traditional censuses often cannot capture rapid demographic changes. Social media data offer a promising alternative for dynamic…

Poverty mapping that displays spatial distribution of various poverty indices is most useful to policymakers and researchers when they are disaggregated into small geographic units, such as cities, municipalities or other administrative…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-18 Partha Lahiri , Jiraphan Suntornchost

Spatial aggregation with respect to a population distribution involves estimating aggregate quantities for a population based on an observation of individuals in a subpopulation. In this context, a geostatistical workflow must account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Millions of people worldwide are absent from their country's census. Accurate, current, and granular population metrics are critical to improving government allocation of resources, to measuring disease control, to responding to natural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Wenjie Hu , Jay Harshadbhai Patel , Zoe-Alanah Robert , Paul Novosad , Samuel Asher , Zhongyi Tang , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

We propose an approximate hierarchical Bayes approach that uses the Natural Exponential Family with Quadratic Variance Function in combining information from multiple sources to improve traditional survey estimates of finite population…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Soumojit Das , Partha Lahiri

We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

This paper devises a fully Bayesian sample size determination method for hierarchical model-based small area estimation with a decision risk approach. A new loss function specified around a desired maximum posterior variance target…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Peter Dutey-Magni

High-resolution estimates of population health indicators are critical for precision public health. We propose a method for high-resolution estimation that fuses distinct data sources: an unbiased, low-resolution data source (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Amy Guan , Marissa Reitsma , Roshni Sahoo , Joshua Salomon , Stefan Wager

Many areas of the world are without basic information on the socioeconomic well-being of the residing population due to limitations in existing data collection methods. Overhead images obtained remotely, such as from satellite or aircraft,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Ethan Brewer , Giovani Valdrighi , Parikshit Solunke , Joao Rulff , Yurii Piadyk , Zhonghui Lv , Jorge Poco , Claudio Silva

Genetic data obtained on population samples convey information about their evolutionary history. Inference methods can extract this information (at least partially) but they require sophisticated statistical techniques that have been made…

High resolution datasets of population density which accurately map sparsely-distributed human populations do not exist at a global scale. Typically, population data is obtained using censuses and statistical modeling. More recently,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Tobias G. Tiecke , Xianming Liu , Amy Zhang , Andreas Gros , Nan Li , Gregory Yetman , Talip Kilic , Siobhan Murray , Brian Blankespoor , Espen B. Prydz , Hai-Anh H. Dang

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

We present a new Bayesian method for reconstructing the parent distributions of X-ray spectral parameters of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in large surveys. The method uses the probability distribution function (PDF) of posteriors obtained…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2022-11-23 Lingsong Ge , Stéphane Paltani , Dominique Eckert , Mara Salvato

In recent years, methods of approximate parameter estimation have attracted considerable interest in complex problems where exact likelihoods are hard to obtain. In their most basic form, Bayesian methods such as Approximate Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-17 Johanna Bertl , Gregory Ewing , Carolin Kosiol , Andreas Futschik

We develop a method for probabilistic prediction of extreme value hot-spots in a spatio-temporal framework, tailored to big datasets containing important gaps. In this setting, direct calculation of summaries from data, such as the minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz
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