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We introduce a modified spatial $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot process to model the ancestry of individuals in a population occupying a continuous spatial habitat divided into two areas by a sharp discontinuity of the dispersal rate and effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Raphael Forien , Harald Ringbauer , Graham Coop

We prove a central limit theorem for the length of the longest subsequence of a random permutation which follows one of a class of repeating patterns. This class includes every fixed pattern of ups and downs having at least one of each,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Aaron Abrams , Eric Babson , Henry Landau , Zeph Landau , James Pommersheim

We study the fluctuations of the eigenvalues of real valued large centrosymmetric random matrices via its linear eigenvalue statistic. This is essentially a central limit theorem (CLT) for sums of dependent random variables. The dependence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Indrajit Jana , Sunita Rani

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We consider a random process on recursive trees, with three types of events. Vertices give birth at a constant rate (growth), each edge may be removed independently (fragmentation of the tree) and clusters (or trees) are frozen with a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Vincent Bansaye , Chenlin Gu , Linglong Yuan

In many biological processes, the size of a population changes stochastically with time, and recent work in the context of cancer and bacterial growth have focused on the situation when the mean population size grows exponentially. Here,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Kavita Jain , Hitesh Sumuni

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the proportion of infected individuals for an epidemic model by dealing with a discrete time system of simple random walks on a complete graph with n vertices. Each random walk makes a role of a virus.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-17 F. Machado , H. Mashurian , H. Matzinger

Random multiplicative processes $w_t =\lambda_1 \lambda_2 ... \lambda_t$ (with < \lambda_j > 0 ) lead, in the presence of a boundary constraint, to a distribution $P(w_t)$ in the form of a power law $w_t^{-(1+\mu)}$. We provide a simple and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Rama Cont , Didier Sornette

This paper deals with extinction of an isolated population caused by intrinsic noise. We model the population dynamics in a "refuge" as a Markov process which involves births and deaths on discrete lattice sites and random migrations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Phenomena as diverse as breeding bird populations, the size of U.S. firms, money invested in mutual funds, the GDP of individual countries and the scientific output of universities all show unusual but remarkably similar growth…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-05-03 Yonathan Schwarzkopf , Robert L. Axtell , J. Doyne Farmer

We study the evolutionary dynamics of a phenotypically structured population in a changing environment , where the environmental conditions vary with a linear trend but in an oscillatory manner. Such phenomena can be described by parabolic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Susely Figueroa Iglesias , Sepideh Mirrahimi

We study supercritical age-structured branching models starting from a single particle with a random lifetime, where the reproduction law depends on the remaining lifetime of the parent. The lifespan of an individual is decided at its birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Ziling Cheng

When modelling metapopulation dynamics, the influence of a single patch on the metapopulation depends on the number of individuals in the patch. Since there is usually no obvious natural upper limit on the number of individuals in a patch,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-27 A. D. Barbour , M. J. Luczak

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We consider the branching random walks in $d$-dimensional integer lattice with time--space i.i.d. offspring distributions. Then the normalization of the total population is a nonnegative martingale and it almost surely converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-07 Makoto Nakashima

The distribution of a Markov process with killing, conditioned to be still alive at a given time, can be approximated by a Fleming-Viot type particle system. In such a system, each particle is simulated independently according to the law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Frederic Cerou , Bernard Delyon , Arnaud Guyader , Mathias Rousset

Consider the sample covariance matrix $$\Sigma^{1/2}XX^T\Sigma^{1/2}$$ where $X$ is an $M\times N$ random matrix with independent entries and $\Sigma$ is an $M\times M$ diagonal matrix. It is known that if $\Sigma$ is deterministic, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Ji Oon Lee , Yiting Li

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

We consider Gaussian approximation in a variant of the classical Johnson--Mehl birth-growth model with random growth speed. Seeds appear randomly in $\mathbb{R}^d$ at random times and start growing instantaneously in all directions with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Ilya Molchanov , Riccardo Turin