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In recent machine learning systems, confidence scores are being utilized more and more to manage selective prediction, whereby a model can abstain from making a prediction when it is unconfident. Yet, conventional metrics like accuracy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Kourosh Shahnazari , Seyed Moein Ayyoubzadeh , Mohammadali Keshtparvar , Pegah Ghaffari

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Robustness to distribution shifts is critical for deploying machine learning models in the real world. Despite this necessity, there has been little work in defining the underlying mechanisms that cause these shifts and evaluating the…

The increasing reliance on ML models in high-stakes tasks has raised a major concern on fairness violations. Although there has been a surge of work that improves algorithmic fairness, most of them are under the assumption of an identical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Bang An , Zora Che , Mucong Ding , Furong Huang

Recent work in distance metric learning has focused on learning transformations of data that best align with provided sets of pairwise similarity and dissimilarity constraints. The learned transformations lead to improved retrieval,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-24 Kristjan Greenewald , Stephen Kelley , Alfred Hero

Existing uncertainty modeling approaches try to detect an out-of-distribution point from the in-distribution dataset. We extend this argument to detect finer-grained uncertainty that distinguishes between (a). certain points, (b). uncertain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Rahul Soni , Naresh Shah , Jimmy D. Moore

Driver observation models are rarely deployed under perfect conditions. In practice, illumination, camera placement and type differ from the ones present during training and unforeseen behaviours may occur at any time. While observing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Alina Roitberg , Kunyu Peng , David Schneider , Kailun Yang , Marios Koulakis , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

A key problem in the theory of meta-learning is to understand how the task distributions influence transfer risk, the expected error of a meta-learner on a new task drawn from the unknown task distribution. In this paper, focusing on fixed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mikhail Konobeev , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

While improving prediction accuracy has been the focus of machine learning in recent years, this alone does not suffice for reliable decision-making. Deploying learning systems in consequential settings also requires calibrating and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-06 Stephen Bates , Anastasios Angelopoulos , Lihua Lei , Jitendra Malik , Michael I. Jordan

Uncertainty-aware machine learners, such as Bayesian neural networks, output a quantification of uncertainty instead of a point prediction. We provide uncertainty-aware learners with a principled framework to characterize, and identify ways…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Sabina J. Sloman , Michele Caprio , Samuel Kaski

It has been shown that instead of learning actual object features, deep networks tend to exploit non-robust (spurious) discriminative features that are shared between training and test sets. Therefore, while they achieve state of the art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Devansh Arpit , Caiming Xiong , Richard Socher

The study of provable adversarial robustness has mostly been limited to classification tasks and models with one-dimensional real-valued outputs. We extend the scope of certifiable robustness to problems with more general and structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Aounon Kumar , Tom Goldstein

This paper considers the problem of model selection under domain shift. Motivated by principles from distributionally robust optimisation and domain adaptation theory, it is proposed that the training-validation split should maximise the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Andrea Napoli , Paul White

Human lives are increasingly being affected by the outcomes of automated decision-making systems and it is essential for the latter to be, not only accurate, but also fair. The literature of algorithmic fairness has grown considerably over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Ainhize Barrainkua , Paula Gordaliza , Jose A. Lozano , Novi Quadrianto

When machine learning models are deployed on a test distribution different from the training distribution, they can perform poorly, but overestimate their performance. In this work, we aim to better estimate a model's performance under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Ching-Yao Chuang , Antonio Torralba , Stefanie Jegelka

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

Standard uncertainty estimation techniques, such as dropout, often struggle to clearly distinguish reliable predictions from unreliable ones. We attribute this limitation to noisy classifier weights, which, while not impairing overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Haripriya Harikumar , Santu Rana

Distribution shift occurs when the test distribution differs from the training distribution, and it can considerably degrade performance of machine learning models deployed in the real world. Temporal shifts -- distribution shifts arising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Huaxiu Yao , Caroline Choi , Bochuan Cao , Yoonho Lee , Pang Wei Koh , Chelsea Finn

Point Transformers are near state-of-the-art models for classification, segmentation, and detection tasks on Point Cloud data. They utilize a self attention based mechanism to model large range spatial dependencies between multiple point…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Kartik Gupta , Rahul Vippala , Sahima Srivastava

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro