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This study examines how political engagement shapes public attitudes toward legal immigration in the United States. Using nationally weighted data from the 2024 ANES Pilot Study, we construct a novel Political Engagement Index (PAX) based…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Muhammad Hassan Bin Afzal , Foluke Omosun

Credit risk scorecards are logistic regression models, fitted to large and complex data sets, employed by the financial industry to model the probability of default of a potential customer. In order to ensure that a scorecard remains a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 J. du Pisanie , J. S. Allison , I. J. H. Visagie

The effect of user bias in fact-checking has not been explored extensively from a user-experience perspective. We estimate the user bias as a function of the user's perceived reputation of the news sources (e.g., a user with liberal beliefs…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Anubrata Das , Kunjan Mehta , Matthew Lease

We discuss voting scenarios in which the set of voters (agents) and the set of alternatives are the same; that is, voters select a single representative from among themselves. Such a scenario happens, for instance, when a committee selects…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

This paper examines the impact of temperature shocks on European Parliament elections. We combine high-resolution climate data with results from parliamentary elections between 1989 and 2019, aggregated at the NUTS-2 regional level.…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-03 Marco Dueñas , Hector Galindo-Silva , Antoine Mandel

We provide a sharp identification region for discrete choice models where consumers' preferences are not necessarily complete even if only aggregate choice data is available. Behavior is modeled using an upper and a lower utility for each…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-19 Luca Rigotti , Arie Beresteanu

This study focuses on the impact of digital finance on households. While digital finance has brought financial inclusion, it has also increased the risk of households falling into a debt trap. We provide evidence that supports this notion…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-25 Pengpeng Yue , Aslihan Gizem Korkmaz , Zhichao Yin , Haigang Zhou

Political districts may be drawn to favor one group or political party over another, or gerrymandered. A number of measurements have been suggested as ways to detect and prevent such behavior. These measures give concrete axes along which…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Richard Barnes , Justin Solomon

We find it is common for consumers who are not in financial distress to make credit card payments at or close to the minimum. This pattern is difficult to reconcile with economic factors but can be explained by minimum payment information…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-22 Benedict Guttman-Kenney , Jesse Leary , Neil Stewart

Many important decisions in societies such as school admissions, hiring, or elections are based on the selection of top-ranking individuals from a larger pool of candidates. This process is often subject to biases, which typically manifest…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Ivan Smirnov , Florian Lemmerich , Markus Strohmaier

Assuming that partisan fairness and responsiveness are important aspects of redistricting, it is important to measure them. Many measures of partisan bias are satisfactory for states that are balanced with roughly equal proportions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-29 John F. Nagle , Alec Ramsay

The instability of the financial system as experienced in recent years and in previous periods is often linked to credit defaults, i.e., to the failure of obligors to make promised payments. Given the large number of credit contracts, this…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Motivated by studying the effects of marriage prospects on students' college major choices, this paper develops a new econometric test for analyzing the effects of an unobservable factor in a setting where this factor potentially influences…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-29 Hayri Alper Arslan , Brantly Callaway , Tong Li

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang

We study a model of temporal voting where there is a fixed time horizon, and at each round the voters report their preferences over the available candidates and a single candidate is selected. Prior work has adapted popular notions of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Edith Elkind , Svetlana Obraztsova , Jannik Peters , Nicholas Teh

Most of the computational study of election problems has assumed that each voter's preferences are, or should be extended to, a total order. However in practice voters may have preferences with ties. We study the complexity of manipulative…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Zack Fitzsimmons , Edith Hemaspaandra

Many households in developing countries lack formal financial histories, making it difficult for firms to extend credit, and for potential borrowers to receive it. However, many of these households have mobile phones, which generate rich…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Daniel Björkegren , Darrell Grissen

Bizarrely shaped voting districts are frequently lambasted as likely instances of gerrymandering. In order to systematically identify such instances, researchers have devised several tests for so-called geographic compactness (i.e., shape…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-07-10 Boris Alexeev , Dustin G. Mixon

We consider a type of pull voting suitable for discrete numeric opinions which can be compared on a linear scale, for example, 1 ('disagree strongly'), 2 ('disagree'), $\ldots,$ 5 ('agree strongly'). On observing the opinion of a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Colin Cooper , Tomasz Radzik , Takeharu Shiraga

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht
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