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We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…
In both high-performance computing (HPC) environments and the public cloud, the duration of time to retrieve or save your results is simultaneously unpredictable and important to your over all resource budget. It is generally accepted…
Weighted conformal prediction (WCP) has been commonly used to quantify prediction uncertainty under covariate shift. However, the effectiveness of WCP relies heavily on the degree of overlap between the training and test covariate…
Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…
We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…
Invariant sets define regions of the state space where system constraints are always satisfied. The majority of numerical techniques for computing invariant sets have been developed for discrete-time systems with a fixed sampling time.…
In this paper, we introduce a generalized birth process (GBP) which performs jumps of size $1,2,\dots,k$ whose rates depend on the state of the process at time $t\geq0$. We derive a non-exploding condition for it. The system of differential…
A spectral representation for regularly varying L\'evy processes with index between one and two is established and the properties of the resulting random noise are discussed in detail giving also new insight in the $L^2$-case where the…
The present article concerns the stochastic modeling of the turbulent dissipation field and in particular its temporal evolution. To do so, we will be calling for a random distribution, ubiquitous in several aspects of physics and…
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…
We unify and extend a number of approaches related to constructing multivariate Variance-Gamma (V.G.) models for option pricing. An overarching model is derived by subordinating multivariate Brownian motion to a subordinator from the Thorin…
Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…
For point patterns observed in natura, spatial heterogeneity is more the rule than the exception. In numerous applications, this can be mathematically handled by the flexible class of log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs); in brief, a LGCP is…
In this paper we present some extensions of recent noncentral moderate deviation results in the literature. In the first part we generalize the results in \cite{BeghinMacciSPL2022} by considering a general L\'evy process $\{S(t):t\geq 0\}$…
We develop an approach to Malliavin calculus for L\'evy processes from the perspective of expressing a random variable $Y$ by a functional $F$ mapping from the Skorohod space of c\`adl\`ag functions to $\mathbb{R}$, such that $Y=F(X)$ where…
The Poisson process of order $i$ is a weighted sum of independent Poisson processes and is used to model the flow of clients in different services. In the paper below we study some extensions of this process, for different forms of the…
Continuous time random walks combining diffusive and ballistic regimes are introduced to describe a class of L\'evy walks on lattices. By including exponentially-distributed waiting times separating the successive jump events of a walker,…
Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used to analyze spatially referenced data and to predict values at locations without observations. In contrast to many algorithmic procedures, GP models are based on a statistical framework, which…
This paper studies a time-changed stochastic control problem, where the underlying stochastic process is a L\'evy noise time-changed by an inverse subordinator. We establish a maximum principle theory for the time-changed stochastic control…
Fluctuation properties of the Langevin equation including a multiplicative, power-law noise and a quadratic potential are discussed. The noise has the Levy stable distribution. If this distribution is truncated, the covariance can be…