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Future climate change impacts depend on temperatures not only through changes in their means but also through changes in their variability. General circulation models (GCMs) predict changes in both means and variability; however, GCM output…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-03 Andrew Poppick , David J. McInerney , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

As represented by the Liouville measure, Gaussian multiplicative chaos is a random measure constructed from a Gaussian field. Under certain technical assumptions, we prove the convergence of a process time-changed by Gaussian multiplicative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Takumu Ooi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are pervasive in functional data analysis, machine learning, and spatial statistics for modeling complex dependencies. Modern scientific data sets are typically heterogeneous and often contain multiple known…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Didong Li , Andrew Jones , Sudipto Banerjee , Barbara E. Engelhardt

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Estimating covariances between financial assets plays an important role in risk management. In practice, when the sample size is small compared to the number of variables, the empirical estimate is known to be very unstable. Here, we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-19 Rajbir-Singh Nirwan , Nils Bertschinger

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

In this paper, we consider a generalized birth-death process (GBDP) and examined its linear versions. Using its transition probabilities, we obtain the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities. The distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-16 P. Vishwakarma , K. K. Kataria

In this paper, we consider a wide class of time-varying multivariate causal processes which nests many classic and new examples as special cases. We first prove the existence of a weakly dependent stationary approximation for our model…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Wei Biao Wu , Yayi Yan

In time-to-event settings, g-computation and doubly robust estimators are based on discrete-time data. However, many biological processes are evolving continuously over time. In this paper, we extend the g-computation and the doubly robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 A. Chatton , F. Le Borgne , C. Leyrat , Y. Foucher

In this paper, we discuss estimates on transition densities for subordinators, which are global in time. We establish the sharp two-sided estimates on the transition densities for subordinators whose L\'evy measures are absolutely…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Soobin Cho , Panki Kim

Multivariate dynamic time series models are widely encountered in practical studies, e.g., modelling policy transmission mechanism and measuring connectedness between economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-06 Yayi Yan , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng

The Multi-Output Gaussian Process is is a popular tool for modelling data from multiple sources. A typical choice to build a covariance function for a MOGP is the Linear Model of Coregionalization (LMC) which parametrically models the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Xiaoyu Jiang , Sokratia Georgaka , Magnus Rattray , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We consider Gaussian subordinated L\'evy fields (GSLFs) that arise by subordinating L\'evy processes with positive transformations of Gaussian random fields on some spatial domain $\mathcal{D}\subset \mathbb{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. The resulting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-03 Robin Merkle , Andrea Barth

Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ben Hambly , Liza Jones

Computation of moments of transformed random variables is a problem appearing in many engineering applications. The current methods for moment transformation are mostly based on the classical quadrature rules which cannot account for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-06 Jakub Prüher , Ondřej Straka

The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Dmitry V. Vinogradov

We show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the sum of iid random vectors to converge (under appropriate shifting and scaling) to a multivariate Gaussian distribution is that the truncated second moment matrix is slowly varying at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Michael Grabchak

In this paper we generalize known workload decomposition results for L\'{e}vy queues with secondary jump inputs and queues with server vacations or service interruptions. Special cases are polling systems with either compound Poisson or…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Onno Boxma , Offer Kella

The forms of the generalized quantities that we have recently introduced are dependent on the phase of the probability amplitudes for spin-projection measurements. In this paper, we show explicitly that changing the phase gives different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Habatwa Vincent Mweene

We consider a class of L\'evy-type processes derived via a Doob-transform from L\'evy processes conditioned by a control function called potential. These processes have position-dependent and generally unbounded components, with stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Kamil Kaleta , József Lőrinczi