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In many problem settings, parameter vectors are not merely sparse but dependent in such a way that non-zero coefficients tend to cluster together. We refer to this form of dependency as "region sparsity." Classical sparse regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Anqi Wu , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Jonathan W. Pillow

This paper offers a new approach for estimating and forecasting the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes. On the contrary, we only suppose that the volatility can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Danilo Mercurio , Vladimir Spokoiny

In this study, Bayesian inference is developed for structural vector autoregressive models in which the structural parameters are identified via Markov-switching heteroskedasticity. In such a model, restrictions that are just-identifying in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-13 Helmut Lütkepohl , Tomasz Woźniak

Accurate statistical inference in logistic regression models remains a critical challenge when the ratio between the number of parameters and sample size is not negligible. This is because approximations based on either classical asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Qian Zhao , Emmanuel J. Candes

We propose a novel and robust online function-on-scalar regression technique via geometric median to learn associations between functional responses and scalar covariates based on massive or streaming datasets. The online estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Guanghui Cheng , Wenjuan Hu , Ruitao Lin , Chen Wang

Applied macroeconomists often compute confidence intervals for impulse responses using local projections, i.e., direct linear regressions of future outcomes on current covariates. This paper proves that local projection inference robustly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-15 José Luis Montiel Olea , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Bootstrap methods for estimating the long-run covariance of stationary functional time series are considered. We introduce a versatile bootstrap method that relies on functional principal component analysis, where principal component scores…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-05 Han Lin Shang

We consider inference about coefficients on a small number of variables of interest in a linear panel data model with additive unobserved individual and time specific effects and a large number of additional time-varying confounding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-29 Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao

The spatial dependence in mean has been well studied by plenty of models in a large strand of literature, however, the investigation of spatial dependence in variance is lagging significantly behind. The existing models for the spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-18 Bing Su , Fukang Zhu , Ke Zhu

This paper proposes a local projection residual bootstrap method to construct confidence intervals for impulse response coefficients of AR(1) models. Our bootstrap method is based on the local projection (LP) approach and involves a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Amilcar Velez

We present R software packages RobustIV and controlfunctionIV for causal inference with possibly invalid instrumental variables. RobustIV focuses on the linear outcome model. It implements the two-stage hard thresholding method to select…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Taehyeon Koo , Youjin Lee , Dylan S. Small , Zijian Guo

This paper analyzes Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) where identification of structural parameters holds locally but not globally. In this case there exists a set of isolated structural parameter points that are observationally…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

For modeling the serial dependence in time series of counts, various approaches have been proposed in the literature. In particular, models based on a recursive, autoregressive-type structure such as the well-known integer-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch

Multivariate linear regression models often face the problem of heteroscedasticity caused by multiple explanatory variables. The weighted least squares estimation with univariate-dependent weights has limitations in constructing weight…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Lei Huang , Chengyue Liu , Li Wang

In structured additive distributional regression, the conditional distribution of the response variables given the covariate information and the vector of model parameters is modelled using a P-parametric probability density function where…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-06 Gianmarco Callegher , Thomas Kneib , Johannes Söding , Paul Wiemann

Statistical inference in competing risks models is often based on the famous Aalen-Johansen estimator. Since the corresponding limit process lacks independent increments, it is typically applied together with Lin's (1997) resampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-31 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

We develop a theory of evolutionary spectra for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation robust (HAR) inference when the data may not satisfy second-order stationarity. Nonstationarity is a common feature of economic time series which may…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-08 Alessandro Casini

This paper develops bootstrap methods for practical statistical inference in panel data quantile regression models with fixed effects. We consider random-weighted bootstrap resampling and formally establish its validity for asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-08 Antonio F. Galvao , Thomas Parker , Zhijie Xiao

We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path unit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to improve finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a generalised…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Martin C. Arnold , Thilo Reinschlüssel

The frequency response function (FRF) is a typical way to describe the outcome of experiments where posture control is perturbed with an external stimulus. The FRF is an empirical transfer function between an input stimulus and the induced…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-02 Vittorio Lippi